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tv   ABC News Your Voice Your Vote Election Night 2016  ABC  November 8, 2016 5:00pm-10:00pm MST

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just blocks apart in new york city, and just hours from now, you will see the next president at one of those podiums. a night of history starts right now. the time has finally come. they've made their case. >> we will make america great again. >> we're going to prove to the world we aretr >> so, who will be your next president? right now, live from times square, the crossroads of america, with our country at the crossroads, this is abc election night 2016. now reporting, from abc news election headquarters, george stephanopoulos. >> good evening, and welcome to election night 2016. what a crazy campaign this has been. bitter, ugly, always unpredictable. the debates, the rallies, the
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done now. the decision in your hands. our whole team is here all through the night. and the first states are in. so, let's get right to it. the polls have now closed in six states, with 60 electoral votes, and abc news can project that donald trump has won the state of kentucky. that was a state won by bill clinton twice in 1992 and 1996. republican ever since then. donald trump, the winner tonight. up in vermont, three electoral votes, hillary clinton wins those. of course, that is the home state of bernie rival in the primaries. solid blue state. hillary clinton gets that tonight. and in the state of indiana, right in the middle of the country, donald trump wins that, as well. that was won by barack hussein obama in 2008. it's gone republican ever other time since 1964. and, of course, donald trump's running mate, mike pence, is from the state of indiana, so, right there, we see 19 electoral votes for donald trump, three for hillary clinton so far. those first three states, we can
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of georgia, that went to bill clinton in 1992, we do not have enough votes in to protect that yet. it's been a solid republican state ever since 1992, not enough votes in there yet. state of south carolina, also solid red, went democrat only once in the last generation to jimmy carter in 1976, not enough votes there yet, either. and we also have been paying special attention tonight to 12 battleground states, those are the states that the candidates spent the most time in, spent thmo those are the states that are going to determine this election. one of the key ones, polls just closed in the state of virginia. they voted for barack obama in the last two elections, of course, hillary clinton's running mate, tim kaine, from the state of virginia. that is a key part of her strategy, but we do not have enough votes in to project that, so, we have some votes in, three states called so far, as i said, our entire team is here. "world news tonight" anchor david muir, we don't have a lot of results. we do have exit polls. >> exit polls.
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fascinating signs about the makeup of this country and some of the key issues as they headed to the polls today. first, look at the issue of race in this country. and in particular, the racial makeup of the voters. 70% of the voters who turned out today, white. 30%, nonwhite. that number is up from 28% four years ago, and thats that tripled since 1976. on the question of honesty, so much attention paid to hillary clinton, the e-mails, that private server. when they were asked, which candidate is most trustworthy, 37% saying hillary clinton, 32% saying donald trump is the most honest and trustworthy. this is a key question, as we know, which is most qualified to be president, which candidate, hillary clinton, 53% at this point, donald trump, 37%. this is preliminary data. and on the final question, and george, we asked donald trump about temperament, he said, i have the best temperament to be commander in chief, to be president, voters were asked this question. who has the best temperament, 56% saying hillary clinton, at
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trump. >> temperament and qualificat qualifications. also joined by my "this week" colleague, martha raddatz is here. you spent a lot of time on the road in your car, going out and meeting voters and you really did hear this distaste for both candidates. >> absolutely distaste for both candidates. and different parts. pennsylvania, i was just back from pennsylvania, in rural pennsylvania, big trump country, hillary clinton in those cities, but the voters would tell me, i'm not really voting for that person, i'm voting against other. and that was everywhere i went. undecided voters, even those solidly for one of the candidates, it was a vote against the other. >> not a ton of enthusiasm. our chief political analyst here, matthew dowd. what are you watching for? >> i'm watching the demographics. if these hold, it looks like a presidential year. donald trump wanted it to look like a midterm year. i remember a tied race in 2000, 18% of the vote was nonwhite in 2000 and it was a tie.
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to me, that's the history getting made tonight, besides potential history at the end. the history is this country has changed over the last 20 years. >> and jon karl, you've been doing a deep dive in all the states. i want to put up the 12 states we are watching, the battleground states. there they are right there. which two are you paying most attention to? >> i'm paying attention to the ones that the candidates paid the most attention to, north carolina, one of the big battleground states that was visited and spent heavily in, an no state had more candidate visits and more money spent than the state of florida. and here's the thing, george. with both of those states, donald trump simply has to win. with north carolina, it is very difficult to see how he gets elected president if he loses, with florida, it is virtually impossible to see how he's elected. if i can tell you one more item here, if you are looking at florida, if you want to look at one place on this entire map,
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>> that is the bell weather county right there. we're at an odd place tonight light here in times square. we consider it the crossroads of america. i'm also joined by my "gma" colleagues who are at both head quarters right there. robin roberts is with the clinton campaign, that's at the javits center, that's the clinton headquarters tonight. ten blocks away from here, amy robach at the trump campaign at the new york hilton. ten blocks up from here. and robin, what's the mood there right now? >> oh, it's the crowd, you can see, the coming in. there's a bigger crowd, george, outside, it took us about an hour and a half to gain access here. usually a short distance from our studios. we saw police presence virtually at every block. the crowd is beginning to grow, and there is a large projector that is showing the results as they come in. and the projector is hanging from a glass ceiling. and people have noticed the glass ceiling here and wondering if hillary clinton will be able
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ceiling, becoming the first woman to be president. but you've been to these things, george. it's starting to pick up. it's a little early yet, but you can feel the energy building. >> no accident they picked that hall with the glass ceiling. cecilia vega, you have been with the clinton campaign from the very, very beginning. and one of the things they've been telling us, it seemed like they were getting momentum coming into election day. as they really look back at the convention and the debaments as the turning points. >> those are the two moments in this campaign. biggest bumps in some of the polls. of course, that first, the convention, the khan moment, the gold star family that ended up going at it with donald trump, telling him to read the constitution. and michelle obama's line, they go low, we go high, that became a campaign point for hillary clinton, she mentioned it almost every day. and of course, that first debate, where they just went at it. hillary clinton turning that issue into alicia machado, took that out on the campaign trail. and you saw her shift in her campaigning, turning it to an
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and has not stopped since, george. >> how about the lowest point? >> i got one word for you. e-mails. and it did not let up. she startled her campaign on the issue of e-mails at a low point, and she almost ended it on one, the craziest day we had on the campaign trail is that day that james comey announced again that they were investigating her e-mails, of course, we know what happened with that, nothing came of that investigation, but that was definitely one of the low points. they were gloating about how well they were doing in the polls when that happened and that took the air >> and david muir, she had such a hard time figuring out who talk about the e-mails. the first time she apologized was in an interview with you. >> you had a sense, going in, that she knew she had to address the e-mail question, george. we asked her that september day, she said, i'm sorry, and we talked about the book that she wrote right before the campaign and in that book, she talks about how important it is that a candidate acknowledges that they make mistakes. that a politician was able to call it a mistake. i said, would you call it a
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we sat down with her in the middle of the investigation, i said, can you believe we're still talking about your e-mails? she knew it really dogged her. tim kaine came to her defense and she welcomed him in that way on particular, that issue, because she was so exhausted talking about herself. >> no question about it. let me go to amy robach at the new york hilton. not at the trump tower, amy, but you are at the trump rally. >> yes, this is the biggest venue closest to the trump tower, and that is why we are here at the hilton. a few of the thousand expected guests have started to arrive. probably one of the most exciting things we've seen is only rosa, taking selfies with some of those guests who have begun to come here, but something interesting, those guests walk through the door office this ballroom, they can each pick up one of those "make america get again" caps, those red caps. if you take a look behind me, i'd like you to look, there is one of those hats right behind
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there are two of them on either side of the stage. they say the reason why is because it has become the iconic symbol of the trump campaign. george? >> it certainly has. and tom llamas, you've been with the trump campaign from the start. you and i were both there in trump tower june 2015, i can tell you from my part, i had no -- there was no way i thought donald trump would be here today as the nominee of the republican party. i'm not sure donald trump thought so, either. >> george, never doubt how high donald trump thinks of himself. but i do think you're right. this was an incredible campaign. and in the beginning, there really was no campaign. it was donald trump a microphone and a twitter account. and he did so many things that were unconventional, and that's why no one believed he could get to this point. he savaged his opponents with insults. he shunned spending money on ads or a ground game. he did whatever he wanted. he showed off his airplane. there was so much going there and of course, he would make up his own facts. but it was his message and that
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voice from queens, he would go into those arenas and said, we're going to build a wall and mexico's going to pay for it. nafta's killing your jobs, we're going to bombing the hell out of isis and millions of people bought in. >> and for the longest time, it looked like one of his iconic sentences, i could shoot someone on fifth avenue and not lose a vote, for a long time, that helped. >> think about how much he bounced back from. even bounced back from that horrific "access hollywood" moment, to where we're watching battleground states right now. he african-american, every single voting block at one point or another, he had problems with. and yet he still at this point in a very close race. we can't ever deny that he truly is in many ways a comeback kid. and the reason why, he never stopped fighting. he never gave up. like him or hate him, he kept in this race the entire time. >> five rallies right through midnight last night. tom, we'll be coming back to you. want to go to times square right now. michael strahan there, as well, right down there with the people. got a nice setup down there.
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>> very nice, george. and thank you. you got robin at the javits center, amy at the hilton. we're right here in the heart of new york city, right here in times square. and you see i'm standing on this map here. this is an interactive map. some red states, some blue states. these states light up when they're called, when the call is given for trump or for clinton. it is a booth behind me built in partnership with facebook, we're going to connect with our audience. hundreds of our audience members, people out there, going to are concerned about the most. things they are looking out for in this election. and wee ha have a great crowd h. a lot of trump supporters, a lot of clinton supporters, they are excited. a lot of young voters, too, here, george. see some pace university students here. so, i'm going to stay out here in times square with the people, and we're going to have a conversation about this election. >> looking forward to that, michael. we have our first tweet of the night. this is from mike pence.
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board to vote to make america great again." that comes from the republican vice presidential candidate, mike pence. i want to welcome back charlie gibson. great to see you. and you started covering campaigns for abc news, i think, back in 1976 -- >> it was 1876. >> one thing i'm pretty sure of, none of us has ever seen a campaign quite like this one. >> are you asking me if i've seen anything like this? no. >> and? >> that's it. i can go home. no, you know, what's dismaying, george, and i think all of us who are here, all are here because we love politics, we love this process of electing a president. it is a -- it is a moment of majesty. and i haven't seen much majesty in this campaign. david made mention of hillary clinton's book, and, chapter about when you should apologize,
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chapter somewhere along the line. and -- the toxic nature of this campaign is truly dismaying to somebody who loves politics. you know, you were all immersed in the, who is going to win which senate race, but -- being retired, i look at it sort of from 10,000 feet. and at a greater distance, and this campaign truly, truly dismays me, for the country. not just for what's happened over the last couple of months, but what's going to happen in the coming months, because the divisions are so great, and whether or not, whoever wins tonight, can govern, given the kind of toxicity that exists, really worries me. >> i want to bring that question to coe key robekie roberts. people really thought washington was broken, especially donald trump voters. it's going to be a big challenge to try to make something work there, as well. >> right. his drain the swamp was all
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anti-government mood in the electorate. we are seeing that as the voters come out of the polls. they are angry or dissatisfied with the government. and they've got good reason to be. the congress has not been able to function. and they've promised a lot of things they can't do. and so, i think it's going to be -- it's going to be very, very hard to pull this together, but there's some -- something of a polyanna about this, because like charlie, like all of us here, we process, and love the politics and the country. and i think that -- i think that sometimes after even a bitter election like this, people do come together. they say, okay, this is our president, and it is exciting and let's do something. >> and terry moran, you spend most of your time in london as our chief foreign correspondent. i think a lot of people all around the world look at this election with eyes wide open. >> they were shocked, and there's no question that it's
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image around the world. you have don't have to look any further than iran. when the ayatollahs wanted to find the west anti-american propaganda they could this year, they showed the presidential debates to the people of iran. and then they just said, look at how degenerate and broken that system is. and for our allies around the world, friends and allies, this was a shocker, you know? they heard one of the major party candidates question the commitment of the united states to nato. that's a bell that will be hard world. and even beyond that, for people around the world, for all the problems that america has, the american democracy is still seen as kind of a beacon of stabil stability, of decency, of order, and it's damaged that. >> byron pitts, eight years ago, charlie announced barack hussein obama would be the first african-american president in the united states, a lot of people thought that maybe we're heading towards a post-racial america. clearly not the case. >> you know, throughout
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always been a backlash to progress. 1863, emancipation proclamation, sa slavery is gone, great. 1865, the klan is born. 1877, jim crow begins. so, i think many people felt that certainly the election of barack hussein oba barack obama, people could celebrate, but what happens next? there have been countless me raise his head when jackie robinson broke the color barrier. but, george, something happens when you raise your head, you have to look both ways because someone will be looking to knock your head off. i think black america is what's casually optimistic when obama won, but history tells us, be careful what happens after progress. >> byron pitts.
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now. 19 electoral votes for donald trump, three for hillary clinton. we're going to be right back with pierre thomas on the impact of fbi director james comey on this election. and we have nate silver from five thirty eight here, as well, with his final forecast.
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and we are back now with election night 2016. we just heard cecile ia vega talking about the e-mail issue, how much that hurt the clinton campaign. that brings up james comey. i want to talk to pierre thomas about that. boy, pierre, james comey getting it from all sides, for coming out in july and giving that commentary after his finding that he wouldn't, would not bring charges against hillary clinton. more criticism when he came out, ten days ago, said he was looking at it again and sunday, the same thing. how much, what kind of damage
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us inside his head on what he took these actions. >> george, political theater is coming to washington. both of these candidates have sharply criticized comey, about what he decided to do. now, what this means is that the fbi director found himself right where he didn't want to be, in the middle of an election, and it's going to be a prickly relationship, because they're going to have to work with him, but the bottom line is, he said that having a presidential candidate, hillary clinton, in the investigation required transparency. he felt he had to do what he had to do, but one of his closest aides told me, there were no good decisions he could make, only bad ones. he made the best he could make, but bottom line, imagine that moment in the situation room for either trump or clinton, both having criticized comey and he's going to have to work with them. he's got a ten-year term that does not end until 2023. he doesn't plan on going anywhere. but he serves at the pleasure of the president.
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let me bring that to nate silver of fivethirtyeight. you do the forecasts of the polls, whatever is coming in on our abc projections, as well. before we get to that, i want to ask you about the comey effect. he came out with the letter ten days ago, looking at the e-mails again, you heard the democrats scream, and they think it really hurt hillary clinton's chances, and their chances of getting control of the senate. >> yeah, so, we had it hurting clinton by about three points on net in the polls. she few days. but there were so many close senate campaigns, within a point or two that if one of them, say evan bayh, who is down in early returns, would lose by a point or so, they might be able to point a few fingers potentially. >> and nate, tell us where you have your final forecast as we're coming into the evening. >> so, we wound up with clinton having a 71% chance of winning, so, better than two in three and we'll update that as the night goes along, as abc news calls states. so far, obviously, no game
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kentucky or clinton winning vermont. the people i follow think the returns look good so far for clinton in florida, of course, which is a must-win state for trump. >> okay, nate silver, thank you so much. we have a group of strategists here, republican and democratic. stephanie cutter, let me begin with you. you worked on president obama's campaigns in his white house, as well. how are you feeling coming into the evening? >> i feel pretty good, listening to nate saying 72% of hillary winning. but i think what we see from the early returning is that ground game has really delivered. especially in florida, where the makeup of that electorate is becoming all that much more diverse. so, i think it's looking good for her there, and if she blocks trump there, she's won the presidency. >> and alex castellanos, you started off this campaign not a big fan of donald trump, came onboard as the months went by. and in some ways, that is the story of the republican party over the course of this election. >> yeah, this -- we've seen it in both parties, frankly. the outsiders versus the insiders, and in the democratic
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trying to overthrow the democratic establishment, and they lost, but in our party, the outsider won, and that has -- it's been difficult to bring the party together in all that. we shouldn't forget that on occasion, these elections are not just about the candidates, they're about government, and both parties think the government is failing them and want change and it will be interesting to see tonight if they get that change. >> a lot of republicans never came onboard for donald trump, one of we learned today that george w. bush and his wife did not vote for donald trump. there was a big group of conservatives, including you, safing the republican party simply cannot get on board. >> we'll see what the implications of those. i see that senator pat toomey of pennsylvania waited to vote fl very late in the day and did announce that he did vote for donald trump. he withheld his endorsement or support until the very end, which confirms the point you
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most republicans came onboard, and i'm not for trump, but i'll say this. if we have a reasonably close race, if trump does almost as well as mitt romney did in 2012, better than john mccain in 2008, he will be a big force. if trump loses tonight, it's not the end of trump. may be the end of the beginning of the trump phenomenon, but the implications will ripple through the republican party. >> it may not be the end of trump, but the question for the republican party is, how do they grab onto those growing voter >> you're right. i have a feeling tonight, as we're looking at the exit polls, we're going to be looking at the cleavages in the electoral along race lines, generational lines, college lines. and republicans tried to draw for votes in shrinking groups of voters. >> okay, thank you all. be coming back to you, as well. got to take another quick break. when we come back, the polls close in north carolina and
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this is abc news live coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> and we are back now. 7:30 in the east and polls have just closed in three more states. 38 electoral votes in the three states. let's look at the board right now. donald trump has 24 electoral votes clinton, because he's just won the state of west virginia. solid republican state, voted republican in the last four elections. of course, donald trump made a direct pitch to the coal miners in that state. very turned off to democrats. that is a win for donald trump. we're closely following these battleground states. polls have closed in two battleground states, including the state of north carolina. hillary clinton closed out the campaign last night in the state of north carolina. we do not have enough votes in
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of course, mitt romney won that in 2012. barack obama won it in 2008. and this, jon karl, this is really hard-fought state. robb robbie mook saying, they're not even sure it's going to be decided tonight, and barack obama went in there heavy in the last several days. >> went over there huge to try to boost the turnout among young voters and especially african-american voters. the state that we are watching, florida, george, a lot of returns are coming in. look at this. in, and -- florida. it's been going back and forth. so much early vote. that's why we're seeing so much come in. and neck and neck. it's been going back and forth between clinton and trump. some of the key counties, i mentioned hillsborough county, we don't have anything there yet. miami-dade county, a county that is two-thirds hispanic. obama won it by 25 points back in, four years ago and it's
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that clinton is winning right now. >> and that's really interesting. the clinton campaign told us that was right on the bubble. they would have to win that by 24%, 25% to have a chance of winning the state. just about right there right now. >> absolutely. and, i mean, it's going back and forth, every minute or so, it goes back and forth. >> i know you are going to keep an eye on that. the polls have closedn the state of ohio. such a key state for so many different election cycles. no republican has ever won the white house without winning the state of ohio. not enough votes in to project what's happening there yet. this is one of best states through the campaign. and david muir, you've been going through the exit polls, what are we learning from them? >> the working class, blue collar workers left behind in the rust belt, in ohio. look at the two questions. first, voters in ohio were asked, and this is preliminary data. your job situation versus four years ago. 38% said the job situation is better today. 35%, about the same, only 27% said it's worse today, but look at this issue that donald trump really doubled down on.
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clinton, his time on this and the trade deals struck under the first clinton administration. takes away jobs, 47%, concerned about trade deals, only 32% in ohio say it actually creates more jobs. so, these are issues key to trump's success in ohio. >> and ron claiborne in ohio for us. ron, i want to go to you. this has been such a competitive state for donald trump, despite the fact that the republican governor of ohio, john cakasich is against him. >> that's right, george. donald trump's going against him. john kasich very pointedly did not endorse donald trump. the senate candidate, rob portman, the gop senate candidate, endorsed him and after those remarks, recorded on the bus that came out, about a month ago, portman withdrew his endorsement of trump. also, the get out the vote effort here by the trump campaign considered weak. a schism in the gop party here and yet donald trump expected to
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the last polls we saw in the recent days showing him slightly ahead of hillary clinton. >> martha raddatz, you were there this weekend. >> ohio, just like pennsylvania. it is that divided america. there are parts of ohio that none of us would recognize as america. there is absolute blight. there are people who are desperate. and those are people who have turned to donald trump. and what they hear from him, i can ask voters, say, do you believe that he'll make a change, do you believe hillary clinton could make a change, and they'll say, i believe either of them, but donald trump gave them some sort of hope. they didn't believe he could really make change, but it gave them hope. he said what they wanted to hear. >> and matthew dowd, one of the signs how much america is changing, right now, ohio is a state that democrats can win the presidency without winning ohio. >> i think we're going to see over the course of the night a few switches, we have to win this state in order to win the presidency, i think that's going to switch back and forth. the other piece of data i think is really important is how much
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election. if you take a look, one, he campaigned in the last ten days feverishly and helped build turnout. you look at his approval rating, one of the few things that's risen. people felt better about the president. when you look at his approval rating and how it breaks. if you approve of barack hussein obama, you voted for hillary clinton. if you didn't approve of barack obama, you voted for donald trump. >> the polls have closed in the state of virginia, one of those battleground states. let's look at it right now. we do not to project what's happened there just yet, but as you see, donald trump has a pretty good lead. of course, hillary clinton came into this campaign considering that one of her safer states, with a pretty healthy lead in the polls. we'll be following that all night. right now, i want to go to kellyann conway, joining us this evening. you're at trump tower, maybe at the hilton. tell me how you are feeling right now? >> we're feeling great, george. we like the fact in some of the states, it looks like a jump
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four and get to 270. as you know, we've had a really aggressive campaign to try to flip a blue state or two, and in doing so, we look at michigan, pennsylvania is always what i call a reach state, like your reach college when you apply, but it's one that really, to martha's earlier point, really is attracted to donald trump's question about trade and job creation and illegal immigration. and then, of course, we're looking at a big day of vote turnout in places l carolina, florida, nevada, where the democrats generally do a very good job earlier on, and we like to make up those gains today. and you look at michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, three states that don't have a very robust early vote, absentee voting would be the key in those states and so that's why we've been deploying governor pence and mr. trump back to those states where they'll be basically 100% day-of voting. >> secretary clinton's team said
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are you working on two, as well? >> i was with mr. trump until we arrived to trump tower at 4:30 this morning, and he's feeling really great. he's feeling buoyant. very pleased about the movement he's created, the fact that he has given voice to a lot of the forgotten men and women that martha was talking about, in ohio for example. i feel really good about the campaign going into tonight, too. we're candidate, hillary clinton, who is very well known, who has the advantage of a very popular president, a former president who is also popular. happens to be her husband. a lot of celebrities campaigning for her. and we didn't always have, you know, republican elected officials. we're going to win a couple of the states tonight without the republican governors or senators voting for us. >> i want to ask you about that. we know that former president george h.w. bush voted for hillary clinton. george w. bush said he left his ballot blank, did not vote for
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did not vote for donald trump. how much did that hurt you? >> it doesn't help. and it's very personally disappointing, though i respect all four of the people you just mentioned, and respect their right to vote the way they'd like. i just would, what i would say to that is that we were all there for them, certainly, but secondly, you know, in growing a party, you have to count on being able to keep the party also it is together, to be able to grow it. and the irony for donald trump is, he's been able to grow this party in pla groups without having the full support of some of the erectlec officials. we've worked hand and glove with chairman rins preibus and the rnc. they've been nothing but fantastic to us here at the trump campaign. but at the same time, we don't have all the senators, governors, former presidents. the irony, george, is tonight, we are poised to win states that neither romney nor mccain won and winning those states without rock n romney or mccain support. donald trump's taken the party
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being the party of the elites and to the party of the working man and working women. that's a huge accomplishment. >> mr. trump talked a lot about before tonight, the possibility of some problems at voting sites. are you seeing any big ones? >> we're hearing reports of some, but nothing that's tangible enough to me to raise flags. but we do have folks giving reports anecdotally. we have positive information from the polling places today. very long lines of people in their full trump regalia, now head hats. so, people excited, i think you are going to see record turnout in some places. that's a great sign for the health of democracy. but we will assess that, as it comes due. if it comes due. we're really focused right now on people who are still voting in some of these states after work, looking at the data inpunts we have here in our data and digital war room to try to see if we can piece together
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work to do. thank you for joining us. i want to go to pierre thomas right now. keeping an eye on ballot security. hearing of any major problems? >> no major problems so far. things are going pretty well. nothing to speak of, george. >> okay, pierre thomas, thank you. i want to go back now to robin roberts. you're there with a member of the clinton campaign. >> yes, i am. i'm here with christina shockey. so, how has the campaign been responding to materially results we'r >> we feel great tonight. as you can see, thousands of people are starting to pour into javits center to what we hope is going to be a celebration tonight. we felt great coming into today, because of the impressive early vote, in florida and north carolina. we really saw the hillary coalition come out and vote for her early. and from the early results, we're feeling very excited right now. >> and the number of people that have come out all across the country, the long lines, the wrapping around buildings and
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exciting for us to see millions of americans are getting out there today. we're seeing democracy in ak. we're really grateful, by the enthusiastic supporters for hillary clinton. we're really seeing hillary's coalition come together tonight. african-americans, latinos, millennials, asia-pacific islanders, suburban moms are coming out to support her. we think this is going to be a historic night. >> i don't have to tell you that hillary clinton's unfavorable ratings have been an issue, and that is one of the reasons why you wer what has been the biggest challenge there? >> we've had a lot of headwinds in this campaign. hillary's certainly be at the forefront of a lot of issues for many years and she takes a lot of incoming attacks. she has for decades. but she keeps in there and keeps fighting. we had some headwinds during the campaign, but she worked her heart out and i think people responded to her positive message for this country. >> the crowd is growing and they are watching the results from the big screen that is hanging
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people have commented about the glass ceiling here. >> we think it's going to be a meaningful night. we are trying to make our capacity bigger here tonight, robin, is because so many of the people that we invited asked to bring their daughters. we had moms and dads say that they thought this was going to be a really meaningful night for this country, they wanted to bring their daughters to be here to hear hillary clinton speak. you know, i think hillary is behalf of children and families her entire life. she's a children's advocate, running for president of the united states. we think heshe's going to make history tonight and be an incredible president for america. >> a large crowd here and even larger crowd waiting outside to get in, george. >> okay, robin, thank you so much. be coming back to you in a little bit. i want to put the results from virginia up again. show the raw vote coming in for virginia. right now, showing a relatively large, rather large lead for donald trump right this, jon karl. go inside the numbers, show us
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assess what it means. >> that would be shocking, because this is a state the clinton team has felt they've had a lead for a long time and the trump team actually pulled resources out of virginia, but if you drill down, you see that trump lead isn't all that it appears. first of all, virginia is a state that the further south you go, the stronger republican vote you're going to have. the key vote and the most populous part of the state is up north. fairfax county. this is a county that went 21 points for see there's not much vote coming in. less than 1,000 votes in there. that's going to be overwhelmingly clinton vote. and then, arlington county, right in here, nothing. nothing's come in. that's an area that obama won by 40 points four years ago. there's a bell weather county, louden county, which kind of crosses different parts of the state, and if you look at that, in that state, in that county,
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of a rapidly changing america right there. virginia used to be part of the solid republican south. it's been won by barack obama twice. as they get an influx of a lot of new populations. >> well, i think it's a reflection of this urban/rural split. george bush, worked on his campaign in 2000 and 2004, we never considered west virginia close to a swing state. that changed automatically in 2008, and now it's almost -- almost no longer it's moving so rapidly blue in the course of this. it's a problematic situation for the republican party that because of these demographics, a lot of these states now are following the demographics. >> how do the republicans get virginia and states like it back? >> we have to win voters who live in denser areas. large pieces of the state are rural, but when folks are living in the sub burrurbsuburbs, urba republicans need to win places
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>> and stephanie rawlings-blake, you represent a city heavy african-american population, but one of the concerns, for the longest time, african-american voters were not coming out in the same numbers they were coming out for barack obama. >> i think secretary clinton really leaned on the first lady in this race, and i think you're going to see the african-american vote really come out. i think it's unreasonable to expect the vote to come out the same way it did in 2008, 2012, but i going to show up, because we understand how important this race is. i was there at the congressional black caucus, when president obama looked into the crowd and said, if you care about me, and if you care about my legacy, then you need to support hillary clinton, and i think a lot of us heard that very loudly. >> cokie roberts, you spent a lot of time studying first ladies, michelle obama, in some ways, the star of this campaign. >> she was the prime surrogate
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african-american voters, young people. young people. really responded to her. and she just -- she took it on the trail in a way that was so meaningful. and her, of course, her popularity ratings are so high that, when donald trump just once went after her, he pulled back, the only time he really pulled back fast. and hillary clinton, of course, took up her chant from the convention of, when they go low, we go high, and took it out on the trai michelle obama did that was so effective was, every place she went, she'd say to the voters, just two more votes in this precinct would have turned it around, and she had all of that data that she used along with her inspirational talks, to really get the voters energized. >> and cecilia vega, hillary clinton said she wasn't voting for bill clinton's third term, wasn't running for barack obama's third tearm, but you di see both obamas come out and
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>> the biggest rally of this entire campaign was just last night in philadelphia on independence mall. the obamas there, the clintons there. george, this election has very been about for hillary clinton preserves president obama's legacy, and she's using that as a way to get votes, especially with what kristina called the clinton coalition. african-american voters. latino voters. voters of color. the one group that she did not mention, which i thought was really interesting is white hillary clinton has had a huge problem with that from the very beginning. but george, i want to go back to michelle obama for one second. one of the most invigorating rallies that i covered covering this for the last year and a half was a michelle obama rally in north carolina, with hillary clinton. when they walked out, arm and arm in a college arena, that place went wild. and hillary clinton has tried to capitalize on that ever since that they go low, we go high moment at the convention. she, michelle obama, was hands down her most important
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>> got to take another quick break. when we come back, michael strahan in times square, and
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the average age of a homeless person is 9 years old. my dream is to help kids living on the streets with education. charles what's up man? -whoa! how can we help? -ah man! sketball player? my heart's about to jump out my chest man. charles you ought to be proud man. i'm just extremely grateful they were here giving them some encouragement- that's something that these kids are going to remember for a lifetime. did you see his big old feet? look.
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we are back now with election night 2016 right here in times square. and strahan with some clinton supporters? >> thank you, george. i'm out here with a group of students from pace university. and how many of you are first-time voters? as you can see, a lot of young voters out here. and i have mariah right here. she's 20 years old. first-time voter. she's from tennessee, and you usually are on the conservative side, but you voted for, everyone here voted for hillary. what made you vote for hillary? >> i just think that i couldn't
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views towards women, i think he's sexist, i don't agree with the idea of it being okay for someone to brag about sexual assaulting women. i didn't like the whole muslim ban thing. i didn't like the idea of someone calling mexicans rapists and drug dealers. so, there are a lot of things -- >> a lot of things. >> a lot of things he said that i didn't agree with. and a lot of things don't line up with what used to republican, like, family morals, so, i couldn't support him. >> all right, well, definitely understand that. and congratulations on being a first-time voter. your voice will be heard and we're going to go back to you, george. >> thank you, michael. want to go down to north carolina. linsey davis in raleigh, north carolina. and linsey, the polls closed there at 7:30. what do you hear there? important senate race there on the ballot and the governor is up. >> you're right, george. in theory, the polls were
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because of some problems that occurred in durham county, what they're describing as computer glitches that essentially shut down voting for a period of time, they have extended voting at a few locations in durham county. as you mentioned, some calling this the tight trifecta, because you not only have a tight race for the senate, for governor, but also for president. according to the most recent polls here for president, north carolina, you have a tie between hillary clinton and donald trump. and this is the eto swing state -- right? because in 2012, north carolina voted for mitt romney, in 2008, president obama. a huge help for president 0 bam that in 200 8, extremely large black turnout. hillary clinton will need a repeat of that in order to win north carolina again. but based on early voting here, the black voter turnout is nine points down this year, compared to where it was in 2012, of
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also, just to look at that senate race, this is being called one of the core four, obviously, democrats need four seats in order to win control of a majority in the senate. and democrats are looking very closely, thinking that they could get a win here. and then you have the race for governor here, where the incumbent republican, people are suggesting that there may be a referendum on his bathroom bill, which some estimate has cost the state billions of dollars in lost revenue, george. >> state. linsey davis, thank you. let's keep north carolina up there, see the results as they are coming in. that's florida. let's bring up north carolina. jon, i want you to dig inside what you are learning for the counties. >> it is going back and forth. if you look at what's happening here, the big democratic stronghold in north carolina, of course, is the raleigh-durham area. one of the big strongholds. this is an area that barack obama won by a double-digit margin, not any vote has come in
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it's big, populated. i would expect as we see more coming from there, you are going to see clinton pull ahead. you see one county here to keep an eye on that's not come in is watauga. this county's voted for the winner in every single presidential election since 1996, but again, no vote coming in. so, although you have a quarter of the vote coming in, very even, going back and forth. there's a lot of hillary clinton vote that's not been counted yet. >> exit polls comin >> they asked, when you made their decision, a rlot of talk about director comey's announcement, whether it would make a difference. look at north carolina. 59% said they made their decision much earlier. 18% say in the month of october. just 5% say in the last few days or the last week. and we've seen similar results from some of the other battlegrounds. and the qualities in north carolina that matter most. 35% said can bring change. 22% good judgment. 21%, right experience.
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campaigning on change in washington. >> and martha raddatz, north carolina, another one of the states that's changing very rapidly. >> there's a fascinating figure here. the toddler population of this country, 3, 4-year-olds, younger, is now majority nonwhite. 70% of the electorate is down two points from 2012, so, that trend is going to continue, as those toddlers grow up. >> and it is accelerating. martha, thanyo break. when we come back, polls about to close in 16 more states, including one of the biggest, one of the most critical of the night, that is the battleground state of florida.
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the time has finally come. they've made their case. >> we will make america great again. >> we're going to prove to the world we are stronger together. >> so, who will be your next president? right now, live from times square, the crossroads of america, with our country at the crossroads, this is night 2016. now reporting, from abc news election headquarters, george stephanopoulos. >> and welcome back to election night 2016. 8:00 p.m. here in the east. and the polls have just closed in 16 states, plus the district of columbia. let's look at where things stand right now. you see there, 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump. the magic number is 270. here are the states that have closed. we can say now that hillary
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illinois. chef was born in the state of illinois. that is her home state. she's the winner there. democrat has won by double digits in the past six presidential elections. hillary clinton wins the state of illinois. hillary clinton also wins the state of new jersey. that is a state that's not voted republican since 1988 for george h.w. bush. one of the states where donald trump has a home, but that one's gone to hillary clinton. hillary clinton also winning the true blue state of massachusetts. it has voted democrat in the last seven elections. last voted republican in 1984. of course, also the home of senator elizabeth warren, one of hillary clinton's allies, perhaps donald trump's most determined foe on twitter. hillary clinton wins the state of massachusetts. and the state of maryland. and its ten electoral votes. hillary clinton wins that, as well. major stephanie rawlings-blake,
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i'm very excited. he got such a wonderful reputation in the house, and he is going to do an amazing job. and as this is all coming together, you know, i'm very excited about what this clinton coalition is going to be. i'm excited about the numbers that we're hearing and i'm very optimistic. >> more numbers are coming in. the state of rhode island, four electoral votes, again, one of those solid blue states, the last republican to win rhode island, ronald reagan in 1984. another one, state of delaware, its three electoral votes, the northeast filling in blue right now. last voted republican in 1988 for george h.w. bush. district of columbia, no surprise there, that goes to hillary clinton right there and its three electoral votes, and now one for donald trump, the state of mississippi and its six electoral votes. jimmy carter, the last democrat to win that in 1976. donald trump campaigned in mississippi, he ones that state. and the state of oklahoma, seven electoral votes.
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1968. and matthew dowd, before we move on right here, what you are starting to see here is the way tradition has gone in so many of the last elections, democrats have won so many of the solid blue states for the six out of the last seven elections, appears to be continuing tonight. >> if you look at the map as it fills in, it's very much similar to a map we saw in 2012 and very similar to, for a few exceptions, to 2008. so, you see, we've seen it in among race, and the geography, that's settled out in the country, vast swaths are red and then there's coasts that become blue. >> let's put up the map again one more time. see where the scoreboard stands right now. 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump so far. a lot of states coming in right now that we don't have enough votes to project, including the state of connecticut. it last went republican in 1988 for george h.w. bush.
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state. hillary clinton and donald trump both won their primaries in april. we cannot call that one yet. tennessee, the state of tennessee, not enough data in yet on the state of tennessee and its 11 electoral votes. haven't voted democrat since 1996, even al gore, when he ran in 2000, could not win his home state for the democrats. we don't have enough data, this is a little bit of a surprise, the vote just coming in slow, but the state of alabama, and its nine electoral votes, not enough day to project there yet. not enough day to project in the state of maine, electoral votes. and jon karl, there's a little twist in maine, one of two states where they split the votes. >> that's right. so, the second congressional district of maine is way up north, they say the people up there speak with canadian acc accents, but they vote like they're from alabama. it's part of the state that the trump team has put a lot of effort in. one of their paths to 270 electoral votes gets them to exactly 270, and they have to
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district. >> okay, state of missouri right now, ten electoral votes, state has gone blue only twice in the past decade, '92 and '96. not enough information in to project on that one. important senate race being held there, as well. so, we're going to spend time looking at missouri later. but these are the states we're paying most attention to tonight, these battleground states, these 12 battleground states, and the biggest one of them all, the polls have closed now in the state of florida. and that is jonathan karl, 29 electoral votes, not only are the polls closed, so much of the vote is coming in. let's look at what exactly we're seeing in that vote right now. >> well, if you take a deep dive into florida, it's been going back and forth. right now, clinton with a slight lead. but if you take a look at the counties, again, it all comes down to some of the bell weather counties. down here, miami-dade is overwhelmingly hispanic and overwhelmingly democratic.
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hillary clinton has a big lead there, 30-point lead, a bigger lead than barack obama had in 2012. and still a significant amount of vote to be counted in miami-dade. that's going to be overwhelmingly hillary clinton. if you go up here to the panhandle, george, this is -- excuse me. if you go up to the panhandle, this is a part of florida that is overwhelmingly republican, and we see very little vote has been counted up there. so, there will be some more donald trump vote. one other county devalue count deval county, part of the state that mitt romney won by three points. right now, we have a slight lead for donald trump. the trend seems to be moving towards hillary clinton. >> there's no more important state early on in this evening. david muir, what do you have in the exit polls? >> the clinton campaign wants florida to lights out for the night. jon, you were talking about miami-da
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if you dive in at the racial makeup of the voters so far in florida. hispanic/latino making up 18%. that's just ticking up one percentage point from four years ago. and if you break it down, when you make up your decision, many of them, 61% said much earlier than the most recent weeks. but look at this. this could be interesting, as the night plays out. when asked if trump's treatment of bothers you after the audio released from that bus, 68% of florida voters saying so far that that bothered them a lot as they headed into the polls. >> martha raddatz, you spent a lot of the voters said it wasn't making that much of a difference to them. >> a little bit of truth in both of that. they said it made a difference, but not as much as you would expect it. and it changed over the months that i went. first, they were very concerned about it, then they weren't as concerned about it. so, they went either way. didn't seem like as big a deal as we're hearing about tonight. and i think it was very different in different states. again, if you go to the rural areas, they knew everything
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>> let's go back to paula faris, at the university of miami. what is happening there right now? what are you feeling? >> well, i got to tell you, there's a lot of excitement from the students behind me. as have been mentioning, all about florida and trump's campaign knows that. it's virtually impossible for him to win the presidency would winning here at the sunshine state, that's why he spent more time and money here than anywhere else. in fact, both candidates have spent more time here in florida over the last month than a the story here, george, has been the early vote. 6.4 million floridians voted early here. we went to five polling stations, and they were virtually ghosttowns. to put that into context, that's more than the total vote here in florida back in 2000. one key demographic that david muir was just referencing was that hispanic vote. and the early hispanic vote in 2012 was 522,000. fast forward here, 980,000, 36% of hispanic early vote didn't
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cycle. i have to tell you, the students here, george, are so engaged, most of these students are from out of state. they know the gravity of this vote. they registered here in florida, because they know their vote is going to count. one of the students said, quote, i'm so nervous, i might pass out. but george, they want to say one thing to you. >> hi, george! >> you have a lot of fans here on the campus of the university of miami, george. >> that is good to hear. i will take that. thanks very much. let's stick in on this. i want to bring t here. what we are seeing with the focus on the latino vote and the early vote is the difference in the ground games between the clinton organization and the trump organization. >> yeah, they both call this a must-win state. and hillary clinton has spent a lot of time in florida, in fact, one of the things we've seen over her -- out of her campaign in the last few months is this coalition of big name celebrity surrogates. and she had this huge rally down there with jennifer lopez and latino stars, and really, she's trying to galvanize the latino
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donald trump say, he spends half of his time in florida, that's his second home. hillary clinton is trying to get in on that ground. >> tom llamas, he did very well in the primaries. >> he won 66 of the 67 counties. the only county he lost, miami-dade. i can't tell you enough how important florida is for donald trump. it's part of their core four. it's where he had the most visits since he locked up the nomination. look at the ad spending. the clinton team, $92 million to $41 million for donaltr now, kellyanne conway said there is one path to the nomination without florida, but many people you are chasing windmills at that point. >> another big announcement out of the state of florida. marco rubio, he was running for president earlier in the year, decided to go back into the senate race, he will come back as the senator. he has won that race, 51% to 46%, right now over patrick murphy. and jon karl, seeing a real gap here between marco rubio and donald trump.
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ten points. statewide, five to six points depending as it goes back and forth. rubio outperforming donald trump. it's a little sweet revenge. rube yoep's presidential campaign died in florida, when he got destroyed by donald trump. he said he was never going to run for senate again. he finally decided to change his mind to run and he had to answer for every everything he said about trump during the primaries. he never lifted his endorsement, george, but he made it clear he still does not like donald trump. >> he did vote for -- >> h >> and he endorsed him. secret ballot. we'll see. >> we remember marco rubio from the debate. >> but you know, george, he said, during the primaries that donald trump couldn't be trusted with the nuclear codes. during the course of this election, he said, yes, he still believes that, but he still has my endorsement. >> i want to bring the republican strategists in. marco rubio, a case study in the kind of pretzels you can get tied up into when you are a republican elected official dealing with donald trump.
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said he could not be trusted with the nuclear codes. yet, in the end, he comes around and votes for him. >> yes, he does. and that was the tight rope a lot of republicans had to walk, but if marco rubio is running five to ten points ahead of donald trump, i'm demanding a recount. that's -- those are not good signs early for donald trump in florida. you know, trump has been appealing to a different voter than rubio. rubio's about the future. donald trump is appealing to the republican voter, older, whiter, less educated, rubio is very different candidate. and you can see a different republican party than maybe younger, more optimistic, doing better in florida tonight. >> and bill, you saw the real split here between former republican officials and current office holders. the former president says, i'm not voting for donald trump. mols of the elected officials came around, finally, maybe
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>> there's a lot of pressure for them if they're on the ballot in particular. and that but true of rubio and toom toomey. the secret ballot is a good thing. in the general election, jimmy carter, gerald ford was on the ballot. he was the democratic candidate for senate in new york. he respected gerald ford. i don't think he had a high view of carter. i asked pat, did you really vote for carter over ford? and he gave me a long lecture on the history of the secre ballot. and how important a thing that is in the anglo-american tradition. i wonder about paul ryan, marco rubio. >> tom llamas, you wanted in on this? >> we have news coming in for the first time tonight, we are hearing frustration from donald trump, in an interview tonight over the radio, on lindsey graham not voting for him. he said, i think it's terrible. on george w. bush not voting for
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sad. donald trump can't be surprised. he put lindsay gram's ceey grah phone number out there. george w. bush, he savaged him on the war in iraq and destroyed his brother, constantly made fun of his brother and family. for the first time, george, we are hearing the frustration of what's happening tonight. >> got to take another quick break. when we come back, nate silver's forecast is change pg. we'll have that, plus more states. okay google, show me korean restaurants in boulder. google assistant: i found a few places. vo: the new pixel, phone by google. exclusively on verizon. the only next gen network that lets you get the most out of it. how is this possible? vo: because verizon lte advanced delivers 50% faster peak speeds in 450 cities, coast to coast. buy a pixel and get up to $400 back. and get 20 gigs of data with no surprise overages, and 4 lines for only $40 each.
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richard. didn't think you were going to make it. hey sorry about last weekend, i don't know what got into me. well forgive and forget... kind of. i don't think so!
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and we are back with election night 2016.
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silver from fivethirtyeight, our forecasting guru. nate, your forecast is changing right now? >> a little bit. we have clinton up to 78%. she was at 72% at the start of the night. as more blue states come in, predictably to her side. >> she goes up even though the states were expected to go her way? >> yeah, i mean, you know, what we're seeing is we have some semblance of a normal election night in america. you're not seeing new jersey go red or something like that. obviously, the first major swing state that's called will shift thos and we're on the edge of four, five or six, maybe not on the edge, but monitoring four, five, six states right now. no major domino has fallen, but still, the script is going a little bit more how the clinton campaign would want it. >> we don't have any swing states we can call, but two other states can come in. the state of south carolina has gone republican, of course, we were saying it is a solid republican state. the only democrat to win was jimmy carter in 1976. and tennessee hasn't voted for a democrat since 1996. that goes to donald trump, as well.
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trump's biggest supporters, former major rudy giuliani. i like what "washington post" reporter sent out a bulletin, and you just left trump's apartment, said trump is watching everything, though i'm telling him not to. >> i meant during the campaign, more than tonight. i used to always tell him during the campaign, don't watch television, the way george w. never watched but he loved watching it. >> how is he doing right now? >> i never -- oh, he's fine. he's in great shape. he -- he's -- he's happy, obviously, he doesn't -- he doesn't know how all these numbers are going to turn out anymore than we do, but he's pretty happy with the information we've gotten back about where we perform, where we thought we were going to perform, so -- i hate the word cautiously optimistic, but
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description i can give. i wish i could think of a better one. >> you say he's been happy. he's been lashing out tonight, including lindsey graham. he still seems to have some anger there. >> i haven't heard that, i mean, i can't imagine what lindsey has to do with tonight, but in any event, this is a question of, we got to find out what the voters are going to do and nobody ever knows until they actually vote. i remember in going to win up until 9:00 at night and then all of a sudden, boom, it switched. >> no question. we all remember that change. do you think donald trump is at peace with whatever the voters decide tonight? >> oh, yeah. this is a very mature, very accomplished man. i think, obviously, whoever wins is going to be extremely happy and feel very satisfied with what they did and whoever loses
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disappointed, because as you know, george, this is a tremendous effort, you give your whole life to it, and you also feel tremendous sort of loyalty to the people who worked so hard for you. so, this is not something that is easy to lose, it's something wonderful to win. i expect that he's going to win it, but i certainly am not a prophet and i've seen these things switch in a second one way or the other. talk of him serving as attorney general. are you interested? >> right now, i'm interested in getting through tonight. and i'm superstitious. i'm superstitious about that stuff. i never -- when i was running, i never talked to anybody about what they might do, should i get elected, even though i was a front-runner for awhile. i certainly thought about it in my head, i sort of thought about sometimes you'd have these
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secretary of state or your attorney general or secretary of defense would be or head of the cia, but i never talked to anybody about it, i never would let anybody talk to me about it. >> major iuligiuliani, thank yor joining us tonight. >> thank you very much, george. always a pleasure. >> jon, we're tabout to take another break. >> a few minutes ago, there was a 30-vote lead out of 8 million votes cast. florida is looking tight. trump has just moved ahead ever incredibly close. one thing you have to say for donald trump, they are still counting votes in the panhandle, there are still votes to come in in miami-dade county. this is going to be a contest at the end that i think is going to go right down to the wire. >> matthew dowd, you worked on the george w. bush campaign in 2000, little deja vu. >> ah, i hope we're not faced with 547 votes in this, but it looks very close. >> okay. we are just minutes away from
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late news tonight maricopa county expects have more than 350,000 early ballots left to count by the time the polls close.>> death in 35 minutes. that the democratic party filed a lawsuit to keep the polls open two hours. they cited early -- earlier issues and long lines and computer issues. 4000 calls have come into the troubleshooter hotline less than half of the 10,000 they saw from the last presidential election but that has denied. >> at the second workers are's scrambling to tally those ballots. we are watching the webcast from maricopa county statewide we're told more than 1,700,000 early ballots have been turned in. that is a record for arizona. in addition to the presidential race where watching the senate race between senate mccain and kirkpatrick. we had people in both camps and
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let's go to the mccain supporters over at the museum>> this party will kick off in about an hour. john mccain is not expected to make an appearance until the race is called. eighth i did keep his seat for a sixth term and this was getting the latino vote this election. he even had a spanish speaking call center. he is hoping all of this paid off. will see what happens when the votes come in and will keep you posted whe tonight. let's go out to fay fredricks at the democratic party headquarters. steve i want to tell you quickly, there are seven states for hillary clinton and district of columbia and a cheer went up. we are also watching the senate race between ann kirkpatrick john mccain let's bring in 8016
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from kirkpatrick. >> i talked to kirkpatrick's campaign manager throughout the afternoon and evening they are confident. they like the fact that the latino early voting is coming back strong. we saw estimates it was higher in -- higher than 2012, hillcrest say maybe double 2012, that might be a little optimistic but they believe it skews toward ann kirkpatrick. they also see independent boat coming back strong and a belief kirkpatrick is a more moderate democrat that favors her. she has been all over the state tucson and phoenix at noon. shaking hands outside polling places, her message is not against john mccain as it was anti-trump in the last push. >> i was right at the border, they are concerned down there because a wall in no dallas desk in the dollars -- a wall there is no good for us.
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will be a monumental task tonight. >> i know you'll watch it for us. we are at democratic campaign headquarters and where sending it back. the arizona gop, they are watching as well. >> reporter: here is what is interesting election 2016, we have been told to expect the unexpected and that is the case at the republican watch party. tyler hudgins joining us now. you have been hired by the republican party of do all of this, what is all of this. >> this is the arizona republican party social media more room. as you know social media change the way we are able to communicate online. as you can see if there would have a lot of bubbles, this is real-time conversations going on right now by local media in arizona. the green bubbles are positive sentiment, red is negative and blue is neutral.
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and we are back now at 8:30 here in the east. that is the crowd for hillary clinton's campaign at the javits center here in midtown manhattan. go to robin roberts in a minute. let's look at the map, the scoreboard right now. see where the electoral votes stand. and there you see it right there, very close so far. 68 for hillary donald trump. the magic number, 270. we can now say that donald trump has won the state of alabama. nine electoral votes. last time they voted for a democrat, 1976. that was the only time since 1964. it guess to donald trump. and the polls have closed in one more state. another home state of hillary clinton, the state of arkansas, of course, her husband was governor there for many years. six electoral votes, not enough vote in yet to project a winner
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these battleground states, these 12 battleground states that are so important in this election, and the polls have also closed in the state of pennsylvania. one of the key ones. the keystone state, a real corn cornerstone of hillary clinton's strategy. one of her closing rallies there, president obama, the first lady. this is so key. donald trump's campaign hoping this could be one of the states in hillary clinton's blue firewall that they could ip and deborah roberts, you're in johnstown, pennsylvania, where there is a core of trump support. >> that's exactly right, george. in fact, folks are hoping that they will see some seismic activity here from johnstown tonight. i have to tell you, though, that even though this is, and pennsylvania has traditionally, in the last few weeks, tilted democratic, they are hoping to see a big shift. we're at a watch party for a state legislator, a republican, who is hoping to become the
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been a democratic seat. they are also hoping to see this in the presidential race. this is trump territory. it's a former steel mill town, people have seen a lot of unemployment, drug problems. they feel like donald trump speaks to them. he was here about a week and a half ago, and boy did they turn out for him, george. tonight, a lot of the folks are saying they are solid by behind him. some democrats have told us that they voted for donald trump. i spoke with one woman who said people said they weren't thrilled about this candidate, but they feel that he understands their problems, their pain and their suffering, better than hillary clinton. and they're hoping that this area might somehow ship this state a little bit more and maybe tip it over to the trump column. could be a long night. a lot of folks here excited and we'll see what happens. >> we will. deborah roberts in johnstown, pennsylvania. of course, hillary clinton, david muir, pinning her hopes on philadelphia and those
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>> the counties around flori philadelphia. so interesting to hear the president say, i hope the moms and dads out there will think about their daughters, the respect for their daughters, a direct appeal to the moment in the campaign when we heard that audio from that bus. we know this number so far. in the philadelphia suburbs, obama won them by seven points. hillary clinton is winning them by 27 points. if you look at what the voters said about trump and what he said about women on that tape and some of the other behavior towards women, look at this. 71% of pennsylvania voters said it bothered them a lot. only 28% said not at all. so, it would ail peer in the counties around philadelphia, the strategy is working. >> martha, you spent a lot of time in those counties, as well. the clinton campaign pitching directly at women. >> i have to say, johnstown, where deborah roberts is, that's the only place i asked a voter what they thought of having a female president and a man told
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could do that job. back in the philadelphia suburbs, they like hillary clinton. but they don't like her as much as they used to. i mean, the e-mail thing, we were talking about it before, that actually has some resonance in those areas. but again, they like donald trump even less. >> and tom llamas, the philadelphia suburbs, the only place we saw a speech from melania trump. >> that is right. he hoped -- outside of philadelphia, in the suburbs. he hoped that melania could win over female trump campaign was worried about all the comments, all the women that came forward in the last few weeks accusing donald trump of sexual harassment, melania was supposed to be is secret weapon. she gave the one speech, we didn't see her again. during your interview, he announced to her she was going to be speaking, it was news to her. we were in pennsylvania yesterday, in scranton, in a dark gymnasium. you could see the steam ridsing
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red hats and the crowd was so hangry. they were on fire. and donald trump felt off that, he said one of the most vicious lines about hillary clinton. he said, that is the face of failure. that is the face of a failed foreign policy. >> i want to get to new hampshire in a second. we have a senate race to call and congressman todd young in the state of indiana has defeated evan bayh in that state. evan bayh, a former two-term senator. former this is a real blow to the democrats hopes to take the senate. >> it is. getting senator bayh back into office was a key part of taking the majority. this loss means that pathway is tougher. there's still a shot, but it is getting tougher. >> but you know, this also makes missouri a race to watch, because blunt is the evan bayh of missouri. >> and he's the republican in missouri. >> and he's a republican, so,
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>> and running against a real, a person that's -- jason kander, made his name in the last several months. >> todd young, the challenger, ran a classic -- the democrats recruited evan bayh, chuck schumer did it personally, and they thought this was great, get a two-term governor and two-term senator back. they recruited a de facto incumbent and allowed the republican to run the challenger race for a republican seat. and young was behind and gained 15 points in the last two weeks. >> e in a hotel room instead of his parent wh apartment -- >> if only that worked on the presidential level. >> it will not. >> and look, evan bayh had a 35-point lead at one point, george. this was a great recruit for democrats, or so they thought. but you know, as you said, two terms, congress, two tomorrerms senate. by the way, we have other big news --
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republicans are going to retain control of the house, right there. democrats are not going to be able to pick up enough seats to get control of the house. >> not a big surprise. but this means that paul ryan will be the man, we think, i mean, the challenge now is, paul ryan is speaker of the house. he supported donald trump, but refused to campaign with him. a lot of anger on the part of people who supported trump. and he will face a challenge to his speakership. he has control of the congress. republicans have control. but the republicans who, in the house, who are saying that paul ryan should pay a price for not more fully supporting trump. >> cokie and charlie, you covered the house. this is going to be a real challenge for paul ryan and who the next president is. >> absolutely. paul ryan has been saying over the last couple of days, oh, this is a lot of hype, i'm fine for speaker, everybody's for me, i've been out in all their districts campaigning for them. and that does count for a lot, as you well know, charlie, but
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very much opposed to him, and he's got to placate them at the same time that he'll be under pressure if there's a democratic president, to work with her. and so, it's going to be a lot of tugging on him to come. >> and then he's got to factor in, as well, charlie gibson, does he want to be president of the united states, and speaker is not the place to do it from. >> is there a question about whether he runs for president? i can answer that one with one word, too. but he has a devilish problem. and basically, he tried to whether he would support donald trump or not, by simply going out and saying, i care about my members, i'm going to go out and do everything i can for them. he really worried about his on constituency in the house. but it's a devilishly difficult group to manage. as john boehner learned when he was speaker of the house. so, ryan's problems aren't going to go away. >> even if he retains control, if he has a smaller majority right there, and tom llamas, its will be one challenge to work
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trump. there is no question that donald trump was irritated throughout this campaign by paul ryan. >> george, it was the strangest political relationship. almost like love affair in junior high, like, did they break up, are they back together? two weeks ago, i interviewed donald trump and i asked him what he thought about paul ryan, he said one of the reasons he wasn't supporting him is because he thought paul ryan wanted to run for president. republicans were so upset over that. reince priebus, from wisconsin, paul ryan's state, tried to hard to mend that relationship, and just in the c trump campaign deciding to pull out of wisconsin. they didn't go there in the final days. and i can't remember, and jon karl can help me out there, did they ever appear together in public? >> they never appeared on stage together. not once. this is -- and it's an unbelievable relationship, because trump was, you know, had ryan at his convention, ryan was -- >> the chair of the convention. >> the chair of the convention, and they didn't appear together. >> even when they met in washington, you saw the shot of them going in. they never showed each other
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face a serious challenge to his -- >> george, one of the things that we're seeing tonight, three big check marks to be checked tonight in the politics in washington. the republicans just made a big check mark. they retained the house of representatives. they are starting to look like, they just won a seat in indiana that nobody expected them to win in the course of this, that's beginning to see where it goes. so, the idea that the republican party was gone, there was an anchor on it, they retain most of the governorships, they now retain the house and we're and the senate. so, this is a country still governed by two political parties. >> and mary bruce is in wisconsin, the home of the speaker of the house, paul ryan. mary, what's happening there? >> you know, george, paul ryan is a bit superstitious when it comes to election days. he has a ritual, he goes hunting. he did that today. he's hoping the good luck will carry over, and he's going to need it. regardless of what happens tonight with the presidential election, paul ryan's future is at stake here.
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line. if donald trump does not win, if hillary clinton does, paul ryan could face huge, tremendous challenges regardless. he is going to be the most powerful republican standing in the house, if hillary clinton does, in fact, win. he could be an instant 2020 contender, and that means he's going to have to find some kind of way to show the republicans in congress can get something done, why dealing with the push-back that he could be getting from members of his own party who could point a finger at him if donald trump tonight. >> you'll be covering the house for us. i want to go back to the battleground board. and one of the key states right there is the state of new hampshire, polls have closed in the state of new hampshire, as well. don't have enough votes to project a winner right there, but jon karl, this is a small state. only four electoral votes, but on this electoral map in this year, it packs a powerful punch. >> absolutely. another one of those states that's on donald trump's path to getting exactly 270 electoral votes. he spent a lot of time there.
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ways, the state that gave us donald trump republican nominee. remember, he lost iowa, came in second, and then he came in and had that huge victory in new hampshire, which propelled him into south carolina and onto the nomination. he's been largely behind in the public polls in new hampshire, almost throughout the course of this campaign, since the convention. this is a tough state for them. >> the republican debate in new hampshire, such a key moment in that campaign. that was the debate where marco ru chris christie. he was rising in this race for -- before that happened. >> he punched himself in the chin. >> he was repeating his argument against president obama. >> how many times was it? >> three times. three times. as a moderator, you let him do it and let the voters notice it themselves. governor chris christie noticed it, he was across the stage. as he was repeating himself, i look over at christie, he looks
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i'm not in the game with you. >> there he goes again. robot. >> he brought up governor christie's name. so, we went to the governor next. >> that was pivotal. >> the other -- the other reason new hampshire so important. i want to bring this to cecilia vega, as well. if hillary clinton can hold onto the state of new hampshire, then donald trump is almost certainly going to have to flip one of those other big blue states right across the stop of the midwest. >> absolutely. and you've seen her concentrate on new hampshire a lot recently, in fact, she had a rally there not too long ago, with warren. this is bernie sanders' backyard. you go back to that primary, the hard-fought primary she lost in that state and now she's trying to turn it to her camp. she is, this is one of the states where we saw her reach out to millennial voters, where she really struggled with that. interesting to see how this works out for her tonight. the clinton camp is watching this state closely. >> more senate news, coming from the state of illinois. and this is a pickup for the democrats. congresswoman tammy duckworth, a
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senator mark kirk, he was seeking a second term. you see it right there. tammy duckworth, that is a pickup for the democrats. they need four, if hillary clinton wins the white house to control the senate, five if she doesn't. that is the first pickup there for the senate democrats, and stephanie, that was one that was long expected. >> long expected. she has been running very strong there for some time, against mark kirk, incumbent senator. and recently, they've had some exos he's made. so, she really tied up the race in the past couple of weeks. the probability of her wins was only going up. >> the democrats plus-one right now. and while we're here, let's go back to florida. that state, so important, how much do we have in right now? >> well, it is close. 48% clinton, 49% trump. trump has been gaining here. 91% of the precincts reporting, but zoom in here a little bit. if you want to see one story to
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right now in florida, it's the this is a county that romney won, but barely. he had 111,000 votes. i'm on brevard, i'm sorry. there it is. you have 140,000 votes until volusia county. 30,000 more votes docked than mitt romney in 2012. florida, we have 10% of the state to count. this is, i think, going to be very close. look back at miami-dade county, again, this is the big overwhelmingly democratic largely hispanic county, and we have 91% reporting, so, we'll have -- >> and what is the vote, with 91% in there, what is the vote gap? >> the vote gap is almost 30 points. she's doing better in miami-dade
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fact, if you look at our exit polls, she is outperforming brk w barack obama among hispanic votes. 29% ahead. obama won by 21%. so, she's significantly -- doing significantly better. >> have to take another quick break. more results coming in. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square after this.
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back now, election night 2016. let's take a look at where things stand. put up the scoreboard of the electoral votes won by each of the candidates right now. 68 for hillary clinton, 66 for donald trump. couldn't be closer right now. let's take a look at those battleground states, the 12 battleground states we are following closely. let's pull up one of the key ones, state jon karl what are we seeing? >> this is a battleground that trump had been winning in virtually every public poll coming into this election. but if you look at this right now, there's only about a third of the state that's been voted, but hillary clinton has a narrow lead and there are signs of trouble for donald trump. take for instance, delaware county. delaware county, which is right above columbus. this is a county that mitt romney won by more than 20 points. if you look at it right now, donald trump has barely a one-point lead in delaware
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vote in. matthew dowd, this is key, as well. as donald trump continues to do, hang in there in florida, maybe gets the win in florida, if h hillary clinton wins in ohio, that cancels it out. >> donald trump, i mean, what's fascinating to me is, she's running up in their margins in all the places that she needed to in florida, and other places and he's running up his margins in all the places he needed to. so, that's why we're seeing such a competitive race. >> alex, you've done a lot of >> a lot of races. if you look at the northern counties, nonurban areas, there seems to be a bit of a trump wave. those counties are dramatically overperforming for trump. if that's true in other places like ohio and north carolina, we ought to keep an eye on some of the rural counties, because they may help balance the scales. >> trump overperforming up in the north, clinton overperforming down in the south. >> so, what happens in the i-4 corridor? my home county, orange county.
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i'm showing donald trump losing it by 24 points. doing worse in some of the counties. bear in mind, what's interesting about orange is that you have a real big influx of folks coming from puerto rico. these are folks who are u.s. citizens, they can vote. the latino population in florida is not just about the cuban vote in miami-dade. it's becoming more diverse. this is a big reason why this central florida maybe be tougher for donald trump this time around. >> and bill, the cuban vot also changing in florida. >> right, it is, the younger generation. the younger generation is different from alex's generation, which is different from alex's parents generation. you mentioned that trump's overperforming in the north and hillary clinton in the south, the electorate is overperforming. just looking at the raw numbers here, we're going to have a massive turnout in the competitive battleground states. for all the talk about how unfavorably viewed they both were, going to be a low turnout election -- we must have the most americans voting ever.
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sweating out florida results. what are you looking at right now? >> looks like we're going to be sweating it out again. i think it's going to be very close. there's still a good sizable vote out in the miami-dade area, which could bring her over the top. i also think in the i-4 corridor, it's increase in latino votes, but this is an area where, in the suburbs, we can see the white college educated women come out in large droves for her, too. that's part of the story in florida that we haven't seen yet. >> want to go back to robin roberts, there with brian fallon from the clinton campaign. >> you've been very patient, standing here with us. watching intently, listening intently what are you hearing and how are you feeling about florida right now? >> well, a state like florida is important, but it's important to keep it in perspective. there is a large portion of the vote still out in southern florida. looking at miami-dade and brow ward, where you are seeing a
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the polls closed. we're outperforming president obama in many key counties in florida. if we do win florida, the story of it will be the surge you've seen in the latino vote. to the point just made on the panel, we had a very targeted strategy, recognizing that the latino vote is not a monolith. we've talked to the puerto rican community, the cuban community, and the mexican community, when you look at a state like nevada. we have taken a strategic approach. but while florida is important in terms of if donald trump loses it, very hard to see how he could get to 270, it's not going to be decisive for him just if he ones florida. he's going to have to run the table. not just win florida, win ohio, win north carolina and then paul off a michigan or a pennsylvania, and right now, the latter two states, michigan and pennsylvania, we feel very good about. >> you want to talk about, quickly about the stage here. >> the stage is symbolic, too. it's cut out in the shape of the whole united states map.
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it's because hillary clinton tonight, when she speaks, she's going to talk about how she wants to be president for everybody, not just those who voted for her. >> all right, brian, thank you very much. we'll have more coverage coming
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panera. food as it should be. breaking new information and democracy 2016 that throws a monkey wrench into this election i. what we are learning based on new information we get from maricopa county reporters office is that the presidential race in arizona, possibly the sheriff's race in maricopa
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which are expected to be closed may be up in the air by night and. you saw a picture from air 15, polls close in about three minutes or so, we have hundreds of people in line at these places and where are learning hundreds of thousands of ballots have not been counted and have yet to be counted and likely won't be counted by the end of the night. >> we are checking in with abc 15 sue has been asking questions. trying to get to the what's happening at county recorder's office. >> reporter: bay county 800,000 early ballots so far, you can see them in the boxes behind glass wall that the work is just beginning. it was a record number of ballots many still coming in as people drop off early ballots all day at the polls. staff says it could take 10 to 12 days to count all of these ballots. they have to verify every
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they can count up to 100,000 ballots today. there are races that are tight, these uncounted ballots could make all the difference. the staff says some races may be too close to call if there's a gap tonight.>> arizona has been labeled a tossup state. was interesting, maricopa county, the largest county in arizona and accounting with a majority of republican voters here and when you match that against pima county democrats, will very likely won't have any idea of what the results are going to be from the presidential race.>> 10 to 20 days, that should happen much faster avenue look at the cameras we showed you in the tabulation area you don't see people and their when they are saying 100 when they are saying 100,000 each day, we want arizona to put the best foot forward, if we had races
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back live in times square. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> it's 9:00 p.m. here on the east coast. the polls have just closed in 14 more states. let's put up the scoreboard, look at where things stand. donald trump with 127 electoral votes, hillary clinton with 97. we're paying so much attention to battleground states. and let's look at florida, there you see it. just about 100,000 votes separate donald trump and hillary clinton. and rebecca jarvis, you've seen an interesting development? >> with the polls so close,
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in the -- [ inaudible ] >> rebecca's microphone went off. you're seeing a selloff in the mexican peso. >> yes, about 1% -- >> we'll come back to you. and jon karl, the votes are so close right now. >> it's unbelievably tight. trump has well ove votes. but i think hillary clinton will bounce back. miami-dade county, 93% of votes in. but in broward county, went overwhelmingly for barack obama
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p precincts reporting. >> and north carolina, just about 4,000 votes separate them. another one of the changing states. >> well, the halfway point between raleigh durham, is apex. in 2000, it was 90% white. today, a town of the hispanic population is up 40%, the black population, up 80%, asian pacific up 60%. so, this is no longer jesse helms' north carolina. and donald trump had three offices in north carolina, hillary clinton had 33. >> and texas, 38 electoral
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on the board. and donald trump, the projected winner. matthew dowd, democrats hope the state is changing, but not quite yet. >> yes, there was a huge increase in latino vote, but it seems to have trended back. i think what you're going to see is a less of a margin a typical republican gets, but it's still a red state. >> another kansas, six electoral votes. republican dominated the state, it goes again to the republican, donald trump. state of nebraska, five electoral votes. donald trump, only projected to win four.
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the second district, it's a place that the clinton team is very hopeful to pick up. >> they paid some attention to omaha. >> and not just omaha, states they never paid attention to before. arizona, who would have ever thought we would be talking about arizona. texas, they had hopes there. they were even looking at utah. this map has changed for them. they have their sights set we will see. >> a lot of red there right now. south dakota, three electoral votes there. that will go republican as well. only voted for democrats in four presidential elections, the last time in 1964. north dakota, their three electoral votes go to donald trump as well. and wyoming, three electoral votes, that goes to donald trump as well. and let's put up the map.
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country, straight down the middle, you have a line of red. right there for donald trump, across the south also. a few states for hillary clinton, and one in blue, the state of new york, 29 electoral votes. goes to hillary clinton, voted democrat in every election since 1984. tom llamas, at the beginning, donald trump kept talking about winning his h >> he said he was going to win new york, he said he felt the people of new york would go for donald trump. the only campaigning he did was around trump tower and manhattan. we just got word mike pence is on his way, and we bet they're watching florida, florida, florida, right now. >> and a lot of states we can't project, louisiana, eight
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five electoral votes, the democrats hoping for a win there. part of their solid blue wall. before 2008, it was a swing state. the democrats had been counting on it. and donald trump had a real feud there with the republican governor. minnesota, ten electoral votes, not enough data coming in yet to project that one. that was a state that donald trump made a late play for. one of the things we saw, tom, they thought he was to wisconsin, trump saw polls, and went elsewhere. >> they put together a last-mineral last-minute rally in minneapolis. it was one of their biggest ones, during a vikings game. >> that's a solid blue state, going democrat every single
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>> false hopes, it's a tough state for republican. >> it is a tough state for republica republicans. but let's go to the battlegrounds. florida. >> florida, florida, florida. i mentioned in the beginning, the state that's been the bellwether has been hillsboro county. take a look. hillsboro county, hillary clinton has a big lead. that doesn't mean it's going to continue to be a bellwether, but it's always been one. overall in florida, the count is incredibly tight. it's still donald trump with a slight lead, but as i mentioned, a lot of democratic votes still to be counted. >> polls just closed in other battleground states. michigan, 16 electoral votes, voted for bush in 1988.
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matthew dowd. michigan has also been one of the states, like pennsylvania, republicans towards the end think, this is one we can get. >> they looked at the limited nature of the map for donald trump, the places where he could win the election, he needed to flip a blue state. they went for wisconsin, pennsylvania, then settled on michigan. then the clinton folks got nervous about it. hillary went bunch of surrogates there in the last days. it's a state that's divided. detroit will vote overwhelmingly for hillary clinton, and the rest of the state will vote for donald trump. >> david kerley is there. what are you seeing? >> exactly what matthew is talking about. the trump campaign believes it's all about turnout. they were hoping to get people out in the rural areas, and that is one way he may be able to
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and the campaign was hoping the african-american vote would be lower. it was only 2% lower according to the exit polls. and 2 out of 10 voters were white educated women, and clinton is winning them by ten points. not a lot of votes counted here, but hillary clinton has the lead at this hour. david muir, jobs are always such a big issue in the upper midwest. >> yes, and that's something that donald trump tried t capitalize on. voters were asked what do you think about your job situation, 39%, better, 26%, about the same, 25% worse. and the president and hillary clinton were there the last 24 hours, they wanted to do the early voting states first. what we couldn't find out, were they truly worried about michigan in the final days?
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will wish they had a better ground game there all along. > we have another call, we can say abc news can project that donald trump will win the state of arkansas. it's been a republican state, and it's going to go to donald trump, six electoral votes. battlegrounds in the upper midwest. wisconsin, ten electoral votes. tough state for donald trump in the primaries. he lost that state to ted cruz, we don't have enough votes to call that right now. and bill kristol, this is a state where the conservatives never warmed to donald trump.
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>> it's the mormons in utah, and the midwesterners in wisconsin that resisted donald trump the most. and paul ryan's state, he will be under great pressure from within his conference. but if the republicans hold the house, don't win the presidency, and maybe lose the senate, paul ryan is the one guy that came through. people like me criticized him for being too nice to trump, bei being too accommodating, if he preserves the majority, he could be the most valuable republican of the night. and connecticut, hillary clinton winning the seven electoral votes. 104 for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. and another battleground state, colorado, 9 electoral votes in the west.
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voted democrat in 2008 and 2012. and matthew dowd, colorado, strategists look at virginia and colorado as a pair. the states tend to go the same way. >> i think we're going to see them going in the same way. virginia is close, colorado will be close. another state where the divisions within the state, denver and boulder, are different state. and just like places like florida, michigan, these geographic pots of votes each side is getting and turning out. >> another battleground state, the state of arizona, with its 11 electoral votes. clinton team went there late, michelle obama, spent some money there, even though it's been a solid red state. >> yes, a democrat hasn't won in 20 years.
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were hoping the latino vote would come out. colorado, a state they thought they had locked in early on, and went back towards the end and started pouring more ad money in there. arizona, they think they had this locked in. >> they don't need arizona, but that would be big news there. they would love the state of florida. going to stay on the state of florida, because it's so close. what are you seeing, jon? >> florida still unbelievably tight. can i give you one on colorado since i'm right here? this is jefferson county, colorado. a key swing county, western denver suburbs. she's outperforming barack obama, so that's a good sign. but florida, we're still
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lead. but let's check the counties outside of miami. broward county, overwhelmingly democratic county, 48% reporting, still over half to be counted. >> so, we're going to have this race, the panhandle versus broward county, getting in the last several votes. >> i think it's going to come down to a few thousand votes. we saw that in a lot of the polls, florida is one of the pivot states, all the polls, some had donald trump or hillary clinton ahead, but they were all within a point. and it looks like florida will be within a point.
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at farmers, we've seen so we know how to cover almost almoanything.hing, even a rodent ride-along. [dad] alright, buddy, don't forget anything! [kid] i won't, dad... [captain rod] happy tuesday morning! captain rod here. it's pretty hairy out on the interstate.traffic is literally crawling, but there is some movement on the eastside overpass. getting word of another collision. [burke] it happened. december 14th, 2015. and we covered it. talk to farmers. we know a thing or two because we've seen a thing or two.
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welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> we're back in times square. let's look at where the map stands. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. the magic number, 270. let's che at trump headquarters tonight. >> that's right. we're seeing a very different scene than about 30 minutes ago. a lot of cheers, a lot of energy as the results start to come in. anytime someone starts talking about florida, you hear the crowd erupt with usa, usa. smiles, laughing, something i wasn't seeing an hour ago.
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hopeful than earlier in the evening. >> and matthew dowd, he's in the game. donald trump is in the game if he can put out that state of florida. >> yes, he's definitely in the game. if she won florida, slam dunk, there's really no path for him. florida is the pillar of the game he needs to keep running. florida, north carolina, then across the country. but >> but not hillary clinton. not pivotal for her. >> show the states he's got to win. >> it's basically 12 battleground states. looking at the one going into today, hillary clinton had a lead. she's already got over 270. what trump has to do, win all the ones we had as toss-ups,
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then a traditionally blue state, like nevada. >> and as we watch florida and north carolina, two states so close between hillary clinton and donald trump, if he manages to win the two states, then he has to find some of the northwestern blue states off. >> if he's not going to win in nevada and new hampshire, he has to get one of the biggies. one of them, the state of michigan. it's a state that democrats feel good about, but were the most nervous, you could say about any of the industrial, midwest states. >> and david, one of the signs why donald trump is hanging in in florida?
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looking at women voters in florida, zeroing in on the exit polls. clinton getting 51% of the women voters with trump's 44%. in florida, of all the battlegrounds, is where she's performing at this level, surpassing this level in every other battleground. >> and stephanie, there was sign of nervousness in the democratic camp in michigan. take us through the states they're worried about in the midwest? >> in michigan, they do think it's going to be much closer than 2012. they think white, college educated white women will bring them over the top. looks like the african-american vote is down a little bit in michigan, and the rural vote is significantly higher than it was in 2012.
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in ohio, much of their early vote was very good in ohio, outperforming where president obama was. some bellwethers are not in yet. much of is areas outside of cleveland and cincinnati. and in pennsylvania, they feel very good about pennsylvania. from all signs, traditional republican philadelphia are going for her in very strong ways. that's a strong sign for what happens across the state. >> and florida may be telling us about the future of other states. hillary doing well in the i-4 corridor, that may mean she'll do well in florida. and trump may do well in michigan. >> and ten battleground states
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late word from maricopa county recorder's office is days before they gave count hundreds of thousands of dollars. >> county officials saying it can take up to 10 days to count the combination of early ballots which still have yet to be counted in addition to the ballots cast today at 742
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county. recorder helen purcell tells abc 15 the county is only capable of counting 100,000 votes per day. maricopa county is the state's largest county with the largest upper of voters that means close races including the presidential race in this case it could be up in the air until well after election day. >> with the 11 electoral votes is unknown how this will affect the national picture with many close races right now in so many donald brown states. >> it has been nearly 30 minutes since the polls closed here in arizona. still very long lines out there. joe bartel islam that is why in marysville. people have to vote before they could be counted. >> reporter: yes. exactly. they will be in line for quite a while and let you look at the line. we were there at 6 pm and the line had a pile 50 to 100 people.
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people continue to show up and try to cast a ballot but they do have a volunteer at the back of the line telling people that they cannot vote because they were not in line at cut off. there are a limited number of polling spots inside which is causing the backup. these folks will have their vote counted but people who are showing up, their votes will not count in the election. presidential election as it stands now electoral votes, trump has 109. he one nebraska it's not showing up on our map yet. we're following both parties as they await more results. >> let's check in with stephanie at the republican party.>> reporter: as you can see behind me we have the governor taking the stage at talking to the crowd out here are very excited and eager
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the national stage. meanwhile as we reach -- wait for results from arizona, we're talking about sheriff joe arpaio , can be secure a seventh term. i know the department of justice they were able to file contempt of court charges, criminal charges against him, that affected his poll numbers but they were up and down.>> we saw last since the announcement , in the last month we saw pulled him down doubl he has returned up seven, how that criminal content charge will factor into will have to see what the voters say, it could be close. >> reporter: it could be an upset. back to you. let's go to the democratic party where fay fredricks is standing by. reaction to the new developments? >> reporter: i apologize it's
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in the grand ballroom. melissa has attracted one of the most exciting races, what are the people telling you? >> the polls into the election the race for sheriff has been within 10 points, the vote out of the southeast valley where the opponent campaigned heavily. they are hoping the vote will be up so they're not too worried if he is lower on the early vote and higher they of. >> >> reporter: he's expected to be here later in the night. >> exactly. we expect that he will come and talk to the crowd and supporters here in many an hour or so. >> thank you very much and send it back to you in studio. arizona's vote may be delayed and could that affect
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and we're back now, 9:30 p.m. in the east. election 2016. let's look at where things stand right now. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. it and let's go right to jon karl for the latest on florida. >> it's as tight as it's been. donald trump still has a lead, a significant lead. but again, as i mentioned before, the miami area, specifically the county just above miami, broward county, this is an overwhelmingly democratic county.
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hillary clinton can still harvest enough votes there. >> how much vote is in so far? >> the overall vote, about 90%. let's take a look, overall. 94% of the vote in florida is in. >> and you have it a little bit more than 100,000-vote lead for donald trump. and north carolina, let's see where that stands. there it is right there, 49% for donald trump. about a 60,000-vote lead in north carolina for donald trump. >> multiple states are going to go down to the wire, we may not even be decided by this evening. it's going to be a close race. >> one state that hillary clinton is counting on, the
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let's pull that up. there you see, donald trump ahead there. about 78,000 to about 76,000 in the state of new hampshire. >> and new hampshire is a state that is critical to one of donald trump's path, and, george, incredibly close. >> and another one that's close, the state of michigan. blue state of michigan, as we said, a lot of attention there. donald trump ahead, about 30,000 votes over hillary clinton. and cecilia vega, this has to be unnerving the clinton camp a little bit. >> they were a little uncertain about michigan going in. they thought they had it in the bag, then got nervous and went back. hillary clinton, former president clinton, president obama was there. this is a state they want to
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up, especially in the primaries with bernie sanders and her issue on tpp, and her flip-flop, as he would say, on that. it's been used to illustrate what her opponents would say, inconsistencies, hillary clinton's willingness to change what she says. >> and another state coming in for donald trump, eight electoral votes coming in for donald trump. and you're seeing the map fill in red across the south. and down the middle of the country. tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> right now, the campaign is buoyant, feeling happy. there is a tweet, eric trump tweeted out a picture of trump with governor mike pence in their headquarters, they're saying they're excited and like
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we'll see where it goes from here. >> but right now, this could be, as you were saying, moatthew, a very, very long night. >> we're seeing donald trump overperform in a lot of places that people had questions about. but he's in many places, setting records in rural areas. >> alex? >> the missing trump voter that we've all been they've shown up. in rural america, voting in intense levels. that may mean he can hang on in north carolina, and maybe in michigan. if he can do that and keep arizona, that would get trump to 275. >> martha? >> and i saw enthusiasm for trump in the rural areas. they were concerned in ohio and pennsylvania that they could get the vote out. talked to some gop chairman
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because there's no organization there, but in the last couple of days, they saw that ramp up. i traveled around, trump signs all over the place. they were doing it themselves, people would put signs in front of their houses. and in those areas, the economy is very, very important. it's the number one issue, for example, in ohio. and that's where trump is leading, among those worried about the economy. >> and this is the exit poll in michigan, look at this. donald trump, 54%, to hillary clinton, 39%. this could illustrate the success he's having in rural
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smiling. if you look at the key states, new hampshire, michigan, north carolina, and florida, right now, they're still counting votes. but right now, in florida, he still has that slight lead. in north carolina, he has the lead, very close. in new hampshire, looks like he has a chance to do something in new hampshire. and michigan, only 18% of the votes counted, but he's off to an early lead. but one note of caution to the folks at trump headquarters. florida, back to the ever-important county of broward county. 75% of precincts reporting. more than 200,000 potential democratic votes still to be counted there. >> and hillary clinton has been there four times in the last few
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florida, they've invested in ads and visits. one of the most traveled-to states since early voting began. trying to lock in the early vote, build up a firewall against donald trump. try to lock in the voters. we talked about the i-4 corridor, and the demographic has shifted there. cubans, puerto there. >> and there's this real split between rural and city areas. >> yes, a middle school mock election in new bethlehem, pennsylvania, trump gets 86% of the vote from the kids. and i say, can you work with the
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country together? and they said no, we have to split the country. and i said, we tried that, it didn't really work. on june 23rd, i stayed up all night in london, covering the brexit thing. at first, they looked like lost it, then more results come in. i have a sense of deja vu happening here. >> byron pitts? >> i'm fascinated by the change in america, in 1967, a commission came out that said, there are two americas, one black, one white. now it seems we've gone in a different direction. many minorities feel like
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there are more black people in college, life expeexpectancy ha increased, but for rural working class white america, seems like they're unhappy. >> they've been stuck for a long time. and one way to put it budweiser america. >> yes, the 22 states you can look at hillary clinton carrying, 16 of hers are in the top half of starbucks. donald trump's, 18 of his 25 are in the bottom half, low starbucks. at's why this is the last election that republicans can try to win with the old white guy strategy.
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election. so, the challenge for republican, we need to be a party that appeals to more americans than just that. how do we appeal to the i-4 corridor, the younger, educated voters. >> mary? >> i think it's going to be hard to appeal to those voters when you don't have any understanding of urban america. when you, the only thing you can say about american cities is that they're cesspools, almost 90% of the population lives in cities and metro areas. it's no mistake, this is going to be a city versus rural vote. >> and jon, let's also look at another battleground state, virginia. one that hillary clinton is counting on.
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>> this one looks tight, too. 79% reporting, and donald trump still has the lead in virginia. i should caution once again, we see the democratic counties coming in slower. maybe one of the most important, fairfax county. just north of d.c. 80% reporting, clinton has a 33-point lead. but virginia is would have thought. >> i want to bring in donna brazile. the chair of the democratic national committee. how worried are you with the close states? >> we're still confident that will are lots of votes that still haven't been counted. lots of votes in traditional democratic areas, and i'm still
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the headquarters in brooklyn. we know based on what we've heard early in the day, with the kind of lines we saw, not just in durham and north carolina, the lines that we knew existed in detroit, the lines in pennsylvania, at the end of the night, i'm confident, maybe it's too early to count all of the votes, but as soon as they're all counted, we'll see the democrats will overcome some of the right now. >> i had some people telling me they're sensing some weakness in flint and detroit. >> earlier today, some of the voters we rely on, they tend not to vote before 4:30 p.m., 5:00 p.m. i was on several radio stations encouraging people to stay in line. detroit, flint, earlier today, it was slow, steady.
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afternoon. the last message i had an hour ago was to remind people to stay in line. they have the right to vote, if they stay in line. >> and you remember well, the days of the recount in florida. are we headed that direction again? >> i hope not. but if that happens, we're prepared in florida and any other state for that outcome. but right now, i want to see what happens in broward and west palm beach. i'm optimistic, even if we can't overcome that big hurdle, we still believe there are enough votes out there, before we start popping the champagne. >> and donald trump has been bringing it up over the last several days, what was revealed in the wikileaks, any regrets about giving out questions to
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>> as you know, i've never had access to questions. as a strategist, i work with topics, trend lines, but the event they claim the debate questions, as you well know, it was a forum. i have enough time to make my case, but right now, i'm focused like everybody else on the campaign. making sure every voter in line stays in there are still votes to come in all across the country for hillary clinton. we're expecting a big night tonight. >> and paula faris in miami, we talked about the possibility of a recount. walk us through what procedures are in place. >> i don't mean to give everybody in the studio immediate indigestion, it is
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recount. if the differential is 0.5%, it will be ordered by the secretary of state, and will be completed by next thursday by 3:00 p.m. these are the rules in place, 50,000 votes. and right now, they're still coming in from democratic-heavy broward county. 50,000 votes, automatic trigger >> and you're seeing something in virginia? >> well, jon has been talking about the northern virginia vote. you get so caught up in the numbers. the tightening, it's just an amazingly close situation. virginia is now an example of it. >> it's a state that the trump campaign has essentially written off weeks ago. this became much less of a
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the assumption was that hillary clinton had a big advantage. >> they had stopped advertising there. >> and let's not forget were tim kaine is from. he's the senator of the state. i would love to hear from someone in the clinton campaign about this. >> tim kaine has never lost a race in virginia. coming up, ten states still heading to we'll be back with you live when
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and we're back night 2016, coming up on 10:00 p.m. in the east. let's look at where things stand in the electoral college. 104 for hillary clinton, 137 for donald trump. you need 270 win. and jon karl, so many close battleground states right now. >> florida, north carolina,virginia, michigan, surprisingly close, and new
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stand. in florida, donald trump still has a lead. north carolina, donald trump has a lead. in virginia, donald trump has a lead. a lot of democratic votes still to be counted in northern virginia. but virginia will be incredibly close. whether or not he wins, it will be cleoser than anybody thought. in michigan, a state with only 21% in, but donald trump, >> and matthew, these states are all so close. coming into the race tonight, it looked like hillary clinton, a convergence of national polls had her at about a 4% lead. >> i had her at about 5%. but what we're seeing, a divergence between the national numbers, and the possibility that hillary clinton could win
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percentage, four or five points, and possibly by a few thousand votes. we have no idea what will happen in the electoral college. >> if donald trump wins in three or four states, he becomes president. florida, north carolina, virginia, or florida,north carolina, and michigan, he's there. >> if he wins one of the states up in the north, michigan, pennsylvania, he has a real possibility right there. cokie, incredible. we were seeing going into it, and from what we were seeing earlier this evening. and a complete reversal in terms of the electoral college going for her, and maybe the popular vote going for him. that was an earlier theory. and what it is is, the rural votes getting out. it's the non-college educated people getting out.
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america has left them out and left them behind, economically and culturally. and they're ready to show their distaste for the current country. >> charlie? >> what's dismaying about this, to me, looking at this from a distance, the disparities in so many groups. such a difference between urban and rural, men and women. such a difference between college educated and not. between whites and blacks it's dismaying, the polarity of these groups. >> and asking the question, what candidate is qualified to be president, honest, trustworthy, has the temperament, 5% say
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5% say both. 2% say both are honest and trustworthy. they're not willing to give an inch to the other side. >> tom llamas? >> charlie's point of the two americas theory. i want to tell a story from michigan. exit polls say 50% say trade kills jobs. and i was at a rally, a guy going crazy for he said i'm an auto worker, the union bosses are going for hillary clinton, the guys on the floor are going for donald trump. >> and rebecca jarvis? >> trump has pulled ahead in the polls, we've seen a selloff in
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behind, stocks pick up. and the closer we see things look, the dow is down 500 points. >> polls about to close in four more states. 21 electoral votes up for grabs. we'll be right back.
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the question hangs in the
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arizona's largest counties still have a very long way to go to get votes counted. >> this could take days to count hundreds of thousands of ballots which there they are, sitting in boxes right now inside the recorders office. you're looking live at those ballots right now and the county has received more than a million early ballots now they've counted more than 831,000 last week. officials have to count ballots cast more than 700 poling places today and that's expected to take several days leading the outcome of the presidential race and county race and other races in the ballot, steve. >> live at the county recorders office here and you've been talking with helen throughout the night. she says this is normal? >>reporter: that's right,
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unusual about this. races never called on election day. pretty routine for them to be counting these ballots for several days till after election day. those early ballots in the boxes behind me behind the glass walls. they've been counting these ballots since november 1. 830,000 of them counts so for. 130,000 or so not counted yet. they've been counting the ballots nonstop and stopped around 4:00 this we asked why they stopped and why they're not in there counting them right now. staff tell me they had the leave these machines free to generate numbers that we'll be giving you tonight and takes about 4 hours for them to print out all of those numbers. we should expect to see them a little bit after 8:00 tonight. more for you then. back to you. >> faith is standing back live at the democratic party headquarters. fayetteville, i know that a -- fay, i know a lot of people
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get them. >>reporter: hi, you guys, very loud in here right ow so forgive me if i'm not answering questions. a lot of people in this room and very excited about some of the potential for tonight and some of the races they're interested in is the maricopa county recorder. helen has had that job for more than a quarter century. talk about adrian, her challenger. what did he have to say? >> about the early ballots mailed in that count won't tonight. he's saying he's upset there's so many uncounted ballots. they were not ready for that influx. it's the latest in a lot of mistakes she's been making lately. here's what he had to say. >> she is not a fit leader for this office. whether it's training coworkers or making sure the public gets the right information. at the end of the day, she's a
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one of the most important offices in our democracy. >>reporter: all right, so that was just the democratic challenger to helen purcell. back to you guys as we continue to watch results here at the democratic party headquarters. >> on the republican side, check in with >>reporter: folks out here super eager. take a look bind me at the very packed house at the herd museum. a lot of folks on the big screen watching all the races come in from across the country but they're pulling for john mccaine's in a few minutes. this is one of the toughest races for him so we'll try to find out what the results are and keep you posted again.
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he's welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> and it is 10:00 p.m. here on the east coast in times square. let's take a look at where things stand right now in this very close race for president. there you see it. hillary clinton has 104 electoral votes. donald um you need 270. polls have just closed in four more states with 21 e telectora votes, and donald trump has won the state of montana. republicans carried that state in all but one election, 1992. since 1964. but it is going to donald trump, the republican this time around. and three electoral votes. polls have closed in the state of iowa, one of our battleground states. not enough vote in to say yet what's going to happen there with the six electoral votes.
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2004. close in both 2000 and 2004. barack obama won it twice. tough state for hillary clinton. we don't have enough votes in there to project yet. the state of utah, not usually a battleground. usually solid red. but you've got hillary clinton, donald trump, gary johnson, of course, evan mcmullin, hometown favorite there, running, as well. a mormon in a very heavily mormon state. not enough votes to call that yet, but we are keeping an eye on the very, very close battleground states including nevada. another battleground state. six electoral votes. not enough to project yet. a lot of early vote in that state. last voted republican in 2004 for george w. bush. not enough to project, though. cecilia, want to bring you in on this, because we did see a heavy latino vote and early vote in nevada. democrats had been encouraged by that. >> one of the most encouraging signs for the clinton campaign this weekend coming into election day. a market, a latino market in las
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hours to vote to cast a vote. we saw a really strong ground game from the clinton campaign in states like nevada and one number that jumps out at me as we headed into election day, the clinton campaign says early voting started, knocked on and made phone calls, they contacted 45 million people. this is a well oiled very well paid for machine that they've got going into this election day and they're banking on that right now. especially in states like nevada. >> banking on the l in florida, but boy -- >> i don't know, george. look at this. it's still very close. donald trump with 130,000-plus vote lead and i've been talking a lot about broward county, just north of miami. look what's happening there. 98% of the vote is in. and donald trump still has a big lead in the state of florida. it looks to me like he is trending towards winning the state of florida. >> tom llamas, what are they saying in the trump war room? >> one of the trump metrics is
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the trump campaign is sending out more and more photos of thumb's up, donald trump smiling inside that room. i have one text, this is a wild night. and the mood is energetic and upbeat. >> amy robach, you're at the new york hilton, where trump campaign hoping to celebrate tonight. >> that's right. and there are a lot of people already celebrating here, a lot of shouting, a lot of chanting. and we've heard from inside that trump war aide telling us that the mood in that room could be summed up with one word. fireworks. another one, intense. and we have tweets showing inside, actually, trump's d.c. brand new hotel, popping champagne already. people are in the mood to celebrate. and certainly at trump headquarters, we are waiting for him to make his way to the hilton. we don't know when that's going to be, but a dramatic shift in mood here in the past hour. and we are all watching very
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in. >> robin roberts, what are we seeing at the javits center? >> well, just as amy said, a drastic shift in the mood here at the javits center. though people are trying to stay upbeat -- and you can hear every time -- they just saw that she's the projected winner in new mexico, and so they are very happy about that. but earlier, george, they were playing music, it was a very upbeat scene. and then, when the race started getting tighter and going in the way of donald trump, they stopped the music, they put the results up on the big screen, they kept changing from different networks and it was so quiet, as people were intently listening to the commentary, as well. so, you could hear the cheers, because of new mexico, but they're trying to remain optimistic, but in all honesty, there has been quite a shift here in the last hour or so, george. >> okay, robin roberts. we are not ready to project the state of new mexico yet. but jon, let's look at the other
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v.a. sla? >> looks like hillary clinton has pulled ahead. the northern counties near washington, especially fairfax, that vote is coming in. hillary clinton is pulling ahead in virginia. but i think the state that we're going to be watching, if trump takes florida, the state that it will all come down to, i believe, is the state of michigan. >> michigan. >> because, matthew dowd, if krm donald trump holds onto florida, he's leading in north carolina, leading in ohio. we don't have enough vote in iowa. that's what they call four. all he really needs is one more of the big blue states from the democrats. >> yeah, and jon's right. i think as we move forward, as we, this comes in, if this sticks with the way the numbers are, as we know, these always are a few thousand votes, it becomes the great state of michigan, could ultimately decide the presidency. >> stephanie cutter, nervousness in the democratic camp? i guess that answers the question. >> in this camp. i think you're right.
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going to be closer. there's -- it's -- there's -- even though we believe florida is leaning in trump's direction, there's still some vote out. and there's big democratic counties that have yet to report in michigan. and i think this is just going to be later than anybody thought. i think she's still favored to win. >> david muir, what do you have in michigan? >> take a look at this. tom llamas was talking about this earlier. when you ask about tr trump pounded this issue during his visits to michigan. 50% of the voters in michigan said the trade deals takes away jobs here in america. only 31% said the trade deals create more jobs. and look at this. when you break it down, with other countries, take away jobs, if you feel like your frightened about these trade deals, that the jobs disappear because of them, the breakdown is very clear. you went with donald trump, 57% to -- >> jon, i want to go to you in a second.
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abc news can project that donald trump has won the state of missouri. gone blue only twice in the last four decades. both times for bill clinton in 1992 and 1996. donald trump, republican, wins the state of missouri. right now, filling in the red across that map. martha raddatz? >> i just want to say, we keep talking about this divide in america. the divide is about opportunity. and you look at places like michigan, you look at places like ohio, you look at places like real incomes for americans with a four-year college degree have increased by 22%, real incomes for americans without have fallen by 10%, 68% of americans age 25 and older do not have a four-year college degree. and it's not so much enthusiasm in these area that's bringing out all the trump voters, it is anger. it is frustration. it's feeling that they are really left out. >> and we just saw a state go to donald trump, now a state has
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we heard the javits center applaud when they thought new mexico was coming in. we can project that now, as well. new mexico, and its five electoral votes for hillary clinton. so, there you see the map right now, 150 to 109. jon, let's go back to michigan. becoming more and more important by the hour. >> this is a state that barack obama won by nine points. right now, only a quarter of the vote is in, and trump is up five points. here is what's happening. look at three key counties in michigan. first, marquette county up north in the upper peninsula. look at this. trump is beating hillary clinton in marquette county. you know what happened in that county in 2012? barack obama won by 14 points. so, donald trump is outperfo outperforming mitt romney. if you go back and you look at eaton county, just outside of lanci lansing, trump has a big lead. only 35% reporting.
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points. and then, finally, historically we know, we talk a lot about macomb county. only 1% is in. but this is the county that gave us the reagan democrats. the very early counting there, donald trump with a lead in macomb. >> michigan, very, very close right now. a lot of vote yet to come in in the state of michigan. let's pull up the state of north carolina right now. that is another one of the core four for donald trump. and in the state of north carolina, what are you seeing? >> state of north carolina, again, trump expanding his lead. this has been close all night. but trump is expanding his lead in north carolina. 83% in. he's got a 3 percentage point lead. >> matthew dowd? >> it's an amazing unfolding of the map, as we watch this tonight. i mean, i had thought, as the national polls were moving, all this was going in the direction, but what we're seeing is a diver jens. between sort of the national popular vote and the votes in these states that are divided on
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rural and suburban -- one thing i noticed in the numbers is donald trump is overperforming what anybody thought he was going to get in the suburban areas of these states. >> tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> we have this from kellyann ckellyanne conway. she said, come into the war room. she says he is energized an optimist optimistic. we're talking about the core four for the trump ohio, florida, north carolina, iowa, they have a lot of reasons to be happy. >> they are watching the numbers come in. byron pitts. >> across the street, there's a new play called "a bronx tale." one of the famous lines from the play is, it's better to be feared than loved. and so it seems at this point, tonight, fear is winning out, the dark picture of america seems to be carrying the hour at this point. >> talk about the divide in this country. the story line that is sort of emerging here, this difference between urban america and rural
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i just pulled this up. the u.s. economy. is the condition of the economy not good or poor? 57% in urban america say it's not good or poor, but in rural america, 72% say the economy needs to be fixed. look at this, nationwide, direction of the country. in urban america, 53% believe we're on the wrong track, but that, look at that number in rural america. 71% believe this country is on the wrong path. >> terry moran? >> whoever wins here, what is happening in the united states is part of a world, and it goes beyond brexit. it's essentially ordinary people around the world saying that the way elites have arranged the globalized world, through immigration and trade, ain't working for them and their families. and when they get a chance to punch the elite in the face, they have. >> we're see, they are sending a message to washington, to the elite institutions across the board. cecilia vega? >> we haven't heard from anyone in the clinton campaign, and this is the opposite of what we normally deal with on debate
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they've won something, they are out there screaming from the roof toops is going, i haven't heard from anybody yet, now, it's the clinton team that is quiet tonight. they do think that -- they're still waiting on michigan. that knew that was going to be a late one, and they always said was that florida was not theirs. they didn't necessarily need to win it. >> but florida was their hope, that's why they went in for the kill in the last several days. >> yes, their spin is that they didn't necessarily need it, but you saw them heavily in that state. if they do not win florida tonight, there will be some tears because of that one inside brooklyn. >> that's where they spent the most money, jon karl. >> she went there more to florida, more than any other state. trump spent the most money, went there more than any state. really did come down to florida. and looking now, 95% reporting, he's still got that significant lead, well over 100,000 votes. you know, the other state i'm watching is new hampshire. another state that four years
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home in new hampshire, partly from new hampshire, just like he was partly from michigan, and he lost handedly to barack obama. and look at this. almost half the vote is in, and donald trump has a three percentage point lead. >> if he wins new hampshire and michigan and the core four -- >> look at the possibilities. if you look, again, we have 12 battleground states, virginia, say that goes to clinton, she's up there. pennsylvania, wisconsin. she we've thought all along she's going to win, she seems to have a pretty clear path to 270. but now because of what's happened, if you put florida in trump's camp, if you put north carolina in trump's camp, if you put ohio in trump's camp, and arizona, 254. he now actually has a couple of paths to get to 270. >> all it takes is michigan right there. >> all it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new hampshire and nevada.
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>> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arg both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, those
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meaning if you have problems with white working class voters, if you don't turn out african-americans, you lose those states or win by a razor thin margin. she is in profound trouble right now in the electoral college. >> you were pointing out for awhile that donald trump had a better chance in the electoral college than he did in winning the national vote. i want you to address another question that a lot of people are going to be asking right now. we did see a convergence of the high quality national polls over the course of the last week, at arou a lead for hillary clinton and we'll see what comes in, what comes in at the end. and some people had always been talking about the possibility of a systematic bias in the polls, they were going to be missing trump voters. is that what's happening? >> well, first of all, our model at least always showed the potential for a split. where i think clinton might still be the favorite to win the popular votes, she will wrack up huge margins in california and new york.
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in the midwest. that could prove to be her downfall in the electoral college. but also, polls at the end, sometimes it's not the last poll that's the most accurate, because pollsters don't want to be out of line. and therefore, it's a next to last poll sometimes that was the honest opinion of the pollster and those showed a very competitive race. >> and as we were just repting one more time, as we were coming into the day, your projection above 70% for hillary clinton, where is it right now? >> i mean, i would look at betting markets which say that donald trump is a narrow favorite to win the electoral college. >> okay, nate silver, thank you. we saw both campaigns closely watching these results come in. millions still heading to the polls out west. voters in the final six states still casting their ballots. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square
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abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored by hulu. >> and it is election night 2016, we are right here in times square. what a dramatic night. what a close election. want to go to the battleground stes possibility, just heard nate silver, looking at the betting markets, starting to predict a donald trump victory. they had not been doing that for several weeks and months. let's look at the paths that could get him there. >> i see two paths for a donald trump victory, if he wins the state of florida. and that is trending in that direction. so, if you put florida in his column and you assume he wins ohio where he is up, iowa, arizona, north carolina, places where he is up. here's what he can do.
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nevada and new hampshire. and that gets him to exactly 270, but again, george, it assumes he wins the second congressional district in maine, which tells you why they were spending so much time there. >> we should say, though, but at 269, donald trump is probably still president. >> 269-269, it goes to the house of representatives, the republicans control the house. it is voted by state delegations, almost certain they would choose a republican president, donald trump, you have to have run. if you come back, if take new hampshire and nevada, he can take the state of michigan. if he takes michigan, 276. both of these paths are difficult, because there isn't that much vote yet in michigan. michigan is a state where he has not led a single public poll, he's up right now in the raw vote. a little over a quarter. the other problem is that nevada, nevada's been a state, again, where the public polls were all trailing, all going against trump coming into this
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the vote, of his vote, of the margins that he was going to get among noncollege educated whites, because as we've looked through the numbers, hillary clinton's getting overwhelming numbers with nonwhites. nonwhite turnout unlike we've ever seen. 70% of the vote was white. so, what's -- and she got college educated white women, what's happened is, noncollege white men buy a huge margin went to donald trump. >> and we have to take a qui break. before we go, a big state for donald trump, donald trump has won the state of ohio. donald trump wins the state of ohio. one of his core four. you saw it right there. a big victory there for donald trump. there you see it. key state, no republican has ever won the white house without winning ohio. donald trump has won it.
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john mccaine with a hefty lead over an there. still not eno actually call this one. >> yeah, and in cd1, taking a look at it here, tom with 50 percent of the vote, paul lagging behind with 44 percent. >> 13 percent of what the precincts report. early on with prop 205 to legalize marijuana, the no vote has it. >> yes votes at 16 percent, no
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13 percent reporting so still early on. take a look at the presidential elections results map. hillary clinton has 109 electoral votes, donald trump has 168 and donald trump did just win nebraska but not showing up red on our map and just taking ohio seconds ago as our network coverage just wrapped up. watch the clock, it's been 90 minutes since the polls closed and some people, some barely finishing. >> joe in maryville. one of those places where people were lined up well after the polls closed. >> yeah, steve, they were. we're told that upwards of two hours, people were waiting in line, in fact we could see the end of the line now. people still there. a woman in a burgundy shirt, she's the last person to cast her vote at this location but we saw a number of people in line here upwards of a hundred or so again upwards of two hours. we talked to one voter who just
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take a listen. >> i said that's not gonna stop me whatsoever. i had a good time in line and waited parkly. it's an -- patiently. it's an honor for me and all of us to vote. >>reporter: we talked to a lot of people here who showed up after the polls closed. not able to vote and some upset and others understanding there had to be a cutoff at some point tonight. >> faced with a prospect of ballots not counted for days in maricopa county. early voter ballots sitting in boxes and not counting the ballots just cast today. catch you up on how both parties doing tonight. >> stephanie is at the gop party in phoenix for us. >>reporter: i got to be honest with you, this could be a dark realty that we're facing -- reality that we're facing tonight with hundreds of
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counted. robert graham is coming to talk to us as the chairman of the republican party in arizona. i want to talk about ohio being called for donald trump. that's a big deal. we're talking act 168 electoral votes. >> to 131. they checked the box which she's off. up by about 11 points so see that margin, it's really hard, especially this late in the day back in ohio to catch up for hillary clinton. so looking very good for donald >>reporter: but not good in arizona. people are saying this feels like florida in 2000 with this race and many races in our state not being able to be called for how long are you predicting? >> it's interesting. when you look at maricopa specifically, 724 polls stations that had multiple early ballot stations. so many ballots came in somewhat later so people were voting early and today you had people taking their mail in ballots and dropping them at
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thousands so that bogs the whole system up. they may show to have a large margin of victory. it's not over 'til it's over. it may take us into tomorrow or tomorrow evening before they call some of these elections. >>reporter: head over to fay with the democratic watch party. what are you hearing and what do you know? >>reporter: stephanie, one bright point is the minimum wage fight in arizona. that seems to have your excited around here. they're biting their nails. give you a quick look around. early returns on the presidential race come back and a huge boo went out in this room. democrats very worried right now about that. two of the bright spots for them the sheriff race in maricopa county and the county recorders race. we'll stay on top of it and bring you the latest details on abc 15. >> we didn't show you the results with the county
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adrian has the lead there. >> find the very latest numbers on our and we are back, election 2016. 10:30 here in the east coast. you see it right there, donald trump, we called it just before the break. donald trump projected the win the state of ohio and its 18 electoral votes there, and david muir, you see a big gender gap in that state. >> this is really fascinating in ohio, which of course, was a must-win for donald trump, and he's now pulled that off tonight. no republican wins the white house without ohio. the breakdown. 53% women voters, 47% men. but look when we break it out. who did they vote for? look at the men. 54% went with donald trump, 39% with clinton. that's 15 points right there. the gap there. and then look at women. she carries women, but only by nine points. and one more thing i wanted to show you is when you do the education breakdown, the voters without college degrees, 55% to
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which gets back to this dits cushion we've been having about economic opportunity in this country, not matching those with college degrees and trying to level the playing field. >> and cokie, we've seen the gender gap a little bit less there. >> in ohio, yes. but, you know, what we're seeing is, we've been talking all season about this change of the college educated vote and especially college educated white women and they are going for clinton, it appears, from all of the exit polls. the not enough of them and so, what you've got is many more noncollege educated people turning, first of all, there are many more of them, but secondly, many more of them turning out to vote. and it is, as we've said, this sense of opportunity that is world wide because of technology. and so, what you're seeing is, people being left behind by the technological revolution in a way that's very similar to the
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think are really, their lives are so disrupted that they don't recognize them, either in terms of their day-to-day economic life or their neighbors. their neighbors are different people from what they used to be, their kids might be doing something, might be involved in a gay relationship that they never expected, all kinds of things have changed in their lives and this is the way of saying, we want it to stop. >> and these are people who stuck with this guy, through the most incredible campaign in our say. whatever happens tonight, donald trump has astonished the country. >> you heard the noise right there, that means we have another state to call, and it is the state of virginia, virginia, 13 electoral votes, going to go to virginia. voted for obama in the last two elections. such a key state for hillary clinton, her running mate, tim kaine, from virginia. you would call it, jon karl, a must-win state. >> absolute must-win. especially now.
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clinton has won, it was a lot closer than anybody thought it would be. >> that's right. 48%, 47% coming in right there. but right now, she seems to be holding onto the states so far that she needs, but it goes back to that state in the midwest, state of michigan. let's look. >> and i'll tell you, it's very close, it's tightened a little bit. trump still has a lead with about a third of the vote in. and i'm trying to look at the key counties in michigan, it's been awhile since it's been a true battleground. as close as you can get to a bell weather county, i don't know what bell anymore after this election, it is so scrambled, but it's kent county. that's lansing. and this is a -- >> grand rapids. kent county is grand rapids. >> i'm sorry, i'm talking about eaton. i meant eaton. eaton county is lansing, and this is a county that has gone in the past, has gone back and forth. if you look at it, three-point victory for obama, and look at this. trump with 40% in, has a huge
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trump, but you mentioned grand rapids. let's go out to grand rapids, a solidly republican part of the state. if you go to kent county, as i said, in grand rapids, trump has a huge lead there, but only 9% of the vote is in. that means, to me, that there's a lot more republican vote to come in from grand rapids and kent county. but there's also a lot of vote, george, still to come in in detroit. wayne county, only -- i'll circle it, so here, a third of the vote in, that is overwhelming democratic. i don't know. i could see trump moving ahead in michigan. i could see him losing michigan. >> either way, cecilia vega, president obama went to detroit in the final days, hillary clinton went back in the final days. they didn't pay a lot of attention to it from the convention and late october, early november. didn't spend any money there. and they kept saying that they thought that donald trump didn't invest early enough in the state of michigan. >> yeah, you're right. initially, i with us going to
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election state for them, but it really became, like a last couple of weeks state for them that they really started to pay attention. george, i just want to say, over the last half hour, i've been sitting here and i keep thinking back to the primaries, and the 17 republicans duking it out, and i'm talking to sources in the clinton campaign throughout all of it and they thought they were getting ready to run against marco rubio or jeb bush and they never thought that it would be -- they have always said the race would be tight, but i think when it came down to it, the thought of hillary clinton running against donald trump this in the bag. and look at where they are right now. you've got to bet that they are really nervous inside brooklyn seeing this map right now. >> george, let me raise just one other thing we haven't talked about tonight, which is, again, looking at this as a distance, as i know do, being retired. never in my lifetime, george, and i don't think in yours, have we had two such unpopular candidates. >> have not. >> never. >> so, we're talking about why
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why they voted for hillary clinton, we haven't talked tonight about why people voted against hillary clinton, and against donald trump. and a dismaying percentage of the vote, in both cases, were because they didn't like the other guy, or they didn't like her. and that, again, speaks a sadness about this election. i mean, something extraordinary is going on, and you can't take anything away from trump and how strongly he's running. but i wonder how much of that is an anti-hillary vote and how much is really a
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thank you, arizona, from the bottom of my heart. i want to thank too congresswoman an for running a spirited and honest campaign. this office is worth a good fight and she sure gave me one. i commend her and wish her well. i commend her supporters for investing in her campaign. i've been on the losing side of elections before, and it's no fun. you gave yourself to a cause
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that brings a satisfaction that outlasts temporary disappointment. we may not agree on all the issues, you have my respect and my service. you're my bosses too, and your interests are my responsibility to represent. to my supporters, those who have stood with me in all my campaigns and those who did so for the first time in this campaign, all arizonans who ga trust, efforts, and their most powerful civic position, their vote, so that i would have another opportunity to be the best senator i can be for you. thank you. thank you. thank you. i will get up every day
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you than the day before to deserve your trust. this has been a difficult national election and not always an uplifting one. but americans have done their duty as citizens and chosen a new president. for too long washington has schemed and fought and maneuvered to gain political advantage at the cost of delivering for the american people. we've made too little of any progress meeting the great challenges of our time, are many and difficult. the one message that came through loud and clear in this election is that americans want progress now. they want progress now to secure their families and america's interest from the dangerous threats we face overseas. they want progress now on solving national problems that threaten their ability to prosper and make a better life for their families. they want progress now on growing the economy and
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to live purposeful and satisfying lives. they want progress now on making sure we do what every previous american generation has done and that is to ensure america's future is even better than our storied past. i promise you i will work as hard as i ever have, use all my knowledge and experience and relationships and extend an open hand to and my colleagues on both sides of the aisle to solve our problems together as fellow americans who have more in common than deferences. most of all -- differences. most of all, we have our citizenship in common and that's ablesting we should have by -- blessing we have by treating each other with respect. i want to thank my amazing
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( applause ). >> and even taught an old dog like me a few new campaign tricks. all our incredible interns, our interns who are here -- >> all of our interns and volunteers who sacrificed so much and made so many calls and could i especially -- there's thank but there's also a very, very special group and that is our us iranian american friends who are in -- >> if you happen to have seen a horse drawn carriage around the valley, that's our guys around
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and a special shoutout to our vietnamese american friends who are here tonight. thank you, kevin. these are the people or the children of the people who came to this country from a war torn land that had been taken over by the communist with just the shirts on their backs and made this a greater presence. i thank you for your support and god bless. all of them did so much. your belief in me and your labor honors me and i thank you for that. and thank you, of course, to all my long time trusted friends and advisers and my senate staff in washington and arizona -- there they are. as always, i wouldn't have
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business without your trusted council and generous support and your friendship. thank you to everyone who committed any amount of money to this campaign. from the smaller to largest donation, it fueled our campaign and i thank you. i especially want to recognize two people who have been helpful throughout this journey. senator doug and jeff. also a couple people i want to recognize tonight. harry trueman said if you want a friend in washington, go out and buy a dog. i have a couple that -- i have many, many special friends that are here tonight and two of them i want store or online point out we were in afghanistan and general david
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the three amigos because we always traveled together and spent time together in iraq and afghanistan with the men and women who are serving our nation in uniform. the most uplifting and honorable experiences of my life was to be in the company of our servicemen and women. >> i'd also like to thank a fellow who'd be we more since we were together in the coolage administration. my dear friend rick davis who's done so much along with our
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to go to prescot, arizona, the night before the election and berry gold water started that tradition back in 1952 and it's always been one of the greatest and most political experiences in my life. i never had a hometown growing up. the navy was my home and my parents home till i got married and got arizona. it's the greatest gift i've ever received. campaigns are harder on the family than the candidate and i put my family through quite a few. i think this might be the last. thank you for your love and support. thank you for everything, and that, my friends, with a full heart, i'm ready to get back to work for you. i'll say good night and thank you one last time for making me
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god bless. >> we've been listening in from downtown john mccain securing the senate seat he's held since 1976. we'll have complete coverage on our digital app on abc 15.com and mobile app and back to the presidential race right now and time square but update you on those numbers. john mccain52 percent of the vote as it is we're seeing is,e rural areas, it's very good.is,e will detroit make up the difference? >> this night could not be more dramatic or close. all eyes on michigan, florida, the battleground states. voters still casting their ballots out west. we'll be right back. >> abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored
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coming up on 11:00 p.m. in the east, and this dramatic election night, it's been an unusual campaign and tonight, everything so close and donald trump doing so well so far. let's look right there. he's got 168 electoral votes to hillary clinton's 131. you need 270 to win. we've been keeping an eye on battleground states all night. started out at 12, now we're down to nine and jon karl, let's go through the wins that remain, starting with that big win, 29 electoral votes, the state of florida. >> state of fl reporting, george. donald trump still holding a pretty commanding lead. we move up the coast a little bit, north carolina, donald trump with a solid five-point lead, 91% reporting. keep going up, pennsylvania, this was a long shot from the start for trump, he's losing, but, again, it's pretty close. only a three-point margin in pennsylvania. new hampshire, one that he had been losing in most of the public polling, look at this. he's got a three-point lead with
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go to michigan. donald trump still leading, it's narrowed a little bit. about 45% in. wisconsin. donald trump with over half the vote in, still has a pretty serious lead in the state of wisconsin. >> three big opportunities there. >> just shocking. >> three big opportunities there for donald trump. let's go back to the possibilities. say for the sake of argument, you give him the statements where he has the lead right now. north carolina and florida, the states that he has to win. those are the states that he has to but then he's got his choice among michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania looking like clinton for now, but he's got his choice, michigan, wisconsin and new hampshire still out there. >> i'm going to leave iowa in the middle. hillary clinton is looking pretty strong in iowa, which is a state we thought donald trump, one we thought he was going to win. you look at the other stafts, 243 if he stakes ohio, north carolina, florida. if he takes, and also arizona,
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that, he should take arizona. if he takes michigan, 270 electoral votes. put michigan back. if he takes pennsylvania, 274. put it back. if he takes wisconsin, not quite there. he needs something else. he would need to pull in iowa, that would get him to 270. >> so, we've seen really a reversal of what we've seen all throughout this election campaign in hillary clinton had multiple maps, now donald trump has and she has a narrower i want to take that to sean spicer. sean, what are you seeing, what are you feeling? >> it's just pure excitement here at trump tower. mr. trump, governor pence and the entire team are just watching these results come in. the excitement is unbelievable, as we saw north carolina, ohio, we're keeping our eye on florida, but it looks good and it's just, you know, again, you see michigan and wisconsin, all closing in and as -- i know jonathan karl was just talking
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all of them it will take, but it's definitely the race that we thought. i know we've kind of had that candidate with a message and a ground game that we've been touting for awhile. it's producing the result we thought it would. >> what did you see that others didn't? >> well, i think that we saw a shift in the electorate a few weeks ago. to mr. trump. and again, i think this was the perfect storm. you heard republicans out there talking about clinton inc, the obama care increases, and the trump message of ch all kind of coming at that perfect storm in these last couple weeks. and then when the fbi scandal happened, and they revived the concerns that most voters had with trust and honesty, it really kind of became that perfect storm of that message of change that donald trump and mike pence have been talking about. >> what are you seeing out of michigan right now? >> well, again, i think that we've seen a shift in at the last couple of weeks. we had us going into this race, just barely ahead, and the counties that we're tracking,
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i think it's going to be close but we're going to pull it out. >> and wisconsin? >> wisconsin's going to be a tight race. and so, we'll keep an eye on that, but senator johnson's fighting hard. and i think we've got some areas that, you know, if you look at some of those key counties that obama won 51%, 52%, you're now seeing a role reversal, where donald trump is up 51%, 52% on those. we're not giving up on wisconsin. it's going to be tough. but it's amazing to see some of these counties come in. and i think we feel pretty good about where iowa is going to end up, as well. >> you and your boss, chairman of the republican party, took a lot of heat for the way you've backed donald trump. i was wondering how mr. preibus is feeling now? >> i think there are smiles all around trump tower tonight. i think we touted, you know this, and jon karl knows this, but we've been talking about the data operation that the rnc put together, the ground game that we have, the amount of time and money that chairman reince priebus has invested in both and i think we have a candidate
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a movement, and those things combined, we've been talking about for awhile and i think it's finally that combination hit it at the sweet spot and going to spell for a really good night for us tonight. >> sean spicer, thank you. all eyes on the big battleground states. florida, north carolina, wisconsin, michigan. polls about to close in more states. we'll have all the latest
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looks like this is well on its way to passing. >> we're prepared to call that. $12 an hour minimum wage by
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the years. proposition 205 and where they stands for legalizing marijuana. 53 percent of you so far saying no. the law should stay the same. should not be legalized at this point in our state. >> still 24 percent of the precincts reporting. the presidential race donald trump gaining on hillary clinton with more than a 50,000 vote lead. trump with a commanding le far. >> hearing lots of people lots of numbers coming in. sheriff joe arpaio, 45 percent of the vote. some people cheering we have a new sheriff in town. only 11 percent reporting. >> john mccain accepting his victory with a commanding lead
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this point. we'll keep it's 11:00 p.m. in the east. election night 2016, and it's in keeping with that this year has been. let's look at the trump in the lead. those are the two campaign headquarters in new york. let's put up the board, see where things stand. 190 electoral votes for clinton, 172 for trump. polls have closed in five more states. 82 electoral votes. california is the big one. 55 going to hillary clinton. that was expected. she wins the biggest democratic
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hawaii, 24 electoral votes, going for hillary clinton as well. the state of idaho, four electoral votes, solid republican state, going for donald trump. not enough data for washington, expected to go to clinton. also, oregon, we'll wait for these. but we're paying so much attention to the battleground state. we're down to nine from 12, and electoral paths opening up for donald trump to get to the 270 he needs. jon, let's start with the state of florida. >> looks like he running the table on the remaining states. florida, donald trump has a lead of well over 100,000 votes. just not enough votes out there, i believe, for hillary clinton
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trending solidly for donald trump. north carolina, another state that was a toss-up, a five-point lead with 92% of the vote in. trailing in the state of pennsylvania, with about 70% in. but look how close pennsylvania is. this is a state that hasn't gone republican since 1988. keep going up north. new hampshire, 59%. a state where trump has been the underdog for months, george. and he's 49% to 46% hillary clinton. and the real story here may be in the industrial midwest. the states of michigan, where he still has a lead with about half the vote in. and the state of wisconsin, where he's the ultimate underdog, up three points with 57% in. >> receicecilia vega? >> well, the shift in the last five to seven days, you don't vote against something, you vote
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perhaps that message came too late for hillary clinton. when we look back at the message she cast over the last few days of this race, she said, don't vote against something, vote for something. and i think it came a little late. >> and so much of her message was drowned out in the final days by the message from james comey, the >> yes, they were virtually gloating about the powerful ground game, built up all around the country. and the news broke, this roller coaster of emotions and projections, but it's e-mails and trust and likability. >> cokie?
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state after state that's close, about 40% of voters said change was the most important thing. more important than temperament, judgment, or any of that. and those voters went for trump in each of those states by about 85%. >> and charlie gibson, you go back to 1980, there has been a bush or clinton in the white house except for the last eight years with barack hillary clinton as secretary of state. and maybe there's some reaction to people who have been in far too long. >> you know, i think that was one of the things that despite the donald trump characterization of jeb bush, he was a formidable candidate going in. indeed had an incredible fund-raising operation at the beginning. but people didn't want a third bush and maybe not wanting a
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>> another state, the state of north carolina, big battleground state, it's going to donald trump. 15 electoral votes right there, one of his core four states. matthew dowd, he's filling in the map the way he needs to. >> she had all the paths in the world when the night began. now, he has multiple paths for the electoral college to get to 270. she at this point has to come close to running the table to win all the big prizes out there. wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania and new hampshire. >> she's got to now run the table. we've been talking for weeks, republican privately have been saying, this is a very narrow path for donald trump. now, suddenly here tonight, we see a narrow path for hillary clinton. >> can i just point out one key number emerging as the storyline
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trump's margin among noncollege voters is the highest, going back 30 years. look at this. 39-point gap between donald trump and hillary clinton between when it comes to noncollege whites. better than reagan did in 1984. >> and amy robach? >> so much screaming and excitement in the room. and right after they finished celebrating, they started chanting florida, florida, florida, call it. everyone is anxiously awaiting for that state to be called. but they're certainly celebrating tonight. you can see the sea of red hats tonight, make america great again. everyone is proudly wearing them right now, and very excited to be here, and waiting for trump
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center? >> we're at the big screen. and it is -- they're intently watching the coverage, they keep switching from network to network, doing their best to stay upbeat, and the mood has changed off and on, as you would imagine. but they, as you hear them right now, they are not going anywhe and they know it's a very small margin, but they still feel that victory is within the grasp of hillary clinton. >> thank you. jon, let's pull up the battleground possibilities, and show donald trump's various paths now. >> so, solidly already called, ohio, north carolina, the solid lead still in the state of florida.
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254. so how does he get the remaining 16? multiple paths, the first thing he could do is win michigan, gets him to exactly 15. and when iowa and wisconsin, where he's leading now, that gets him to 270. and he could also win the state of pennsylvania. if he gets pennsylvania, even though he doesn't get wisconsin, i should say, george, include the congressional district in maine. if he didn't take that, all of the 270s would be 269, 269. >> and let's look at what hillary clinton's possible paths are. put pennsylvania, leave florida with trump. north carolina, certainly. leave florida, and let's see what her paths are. >> well, the most likely would be to obviously take
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and win michigan. and then, keep wisconsin. 268. she's got -- >> still would need new hampshire. >> would need nevada or new hampshire. >> george, whoever wins, the closer this is, the greater the divide in the country. and this is such a dramatic evening. things a lot of people didn't expect, but the l close. if she wins the popular vote, if he wins the electoral college, everybody will be doubting everything. >> based on everything we're seeing and likely unfolding, whoever wins is going to be very upset. hillary clinton will be, she's going to sit there and think, i came very close but for wikileaks, the supposed russian
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the and trump will blame the republican establishment, the media. no matter who wins, i totally agree, it's an untenable situation in the aftermath. >> a majority nationwide say they're not at all confident that votes will be counted accurately. meanwhile, among those voters who say they prefer clinton, 72% say they're scared of a donald trump presidency. there are a lot of folks at home watching the numbers come in who are feeling an emotion they might not normally feel on election night. terror. >> if donald trump wins this, i can imagine a lot of committed democrats blaming james comey and the media. >> james comey, absolutely. maybe media for the attention ey gave to it.
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of factors here. i think there's a wave in rural areas that nobody had in their models. maybe not the clinton campaign. i think comey situation had more of an impact than anybody predicted. drowning out any potential closing message she had. >> you hear the chime, another state to project. oregon, seven has not voted for a republican since 1984. will go to hillary clinton. the blue west filling in for hillary clinton. 197 for electoral votes, 187 for donald trump. and bill kristol, i want to
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to have a republican house, almost certainly going to have a republican senate as well. >> or a 50/50 senate. where the vice president would make a tie.
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again, we are waiting for paul penzone to come up and speak and when we have that, we will bring that on. >> has to be an end of an era in arizona, the sheriff 24 year ins office, seeking an unprecedented seventh term but facing criminal charges and a surging hispanic vote in
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defeat. >> we'll continue tracking everything as it comes in. wanted to break in and give you that update once again. sheriff arpaio, no longer the sheriff. sheriff paul penzone will be taking over. we'll break in as ott lot of pe, you can say what you want about donald trump and what he wants to do, there is a l about the people who showed up in those rallies. >> i think there's a big question about what type of change these voters want. >> they're trying to figure out when this magical year, when america was great. do you know the year we're trying to get back to? >> nobody is trying to get back to anything. talking about making america great, opening up opportunities for everybody. he went to the inner city, and
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trapped on an island of urban despair? let's do something about that. >> i want to come back to the states we're seeing close races. florida? >> 96% reporting, if you look at the counties i've been talking about, down by miami, democrats waiting for the vote to come in. miami-dade is 100% in. broward county, 100% in. >> she two by 30% of the vote? >> she won miami-dade by almost 30% of the vote. in ord in other words, a margin bigger than barack obama. >> and that means the clinton people hit their targets. they said if they won by about 25%, they would win. but they didn't account for the surge in trump territory.
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head-scratching going on, trying to figure out how this could have happened in the state that both sides said this was a must-win. >> david? >> when you look at noncollege whites how they voted, it's 39-point gap. 28%, hillary clinton, 67%, donald trump. how many times did kellyanne conway tell us, there's going to be a shadow trump and i remember being out on the trail on labor day with him, and he kept saying to me, look at the size of the crowds, lined up down the street. he said the same thing to tom llamas over and over again. donald trump was confident that what he was sensing and feeling in the crowds was something that is not registering in the polls. >> and one more thing we should raise, i'm getting e-mails about
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sentiment about not having a woman president. we've never had a woman president, and we've talked about excitement among women to have a woman president. but there's always in these situations at least equal amounts of hostility to that kind of change. and the fact that we're seeing this, particularly among noncollege educated white men is not surprising. and i think some of it has to be attributed to the fact that trump is running against a woman. >> what are we seeing in michigan? >> michigan, donald trump, 49%, 46% for hillary clinton. more than half the vote counted. michigan, we're still looking for wayne county, detroit. but 60% of wayne county is in. only 40% outstanding in wayne
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two-thirds yet to be counted. that's republican territory. we could see trump's lead build. >> and wayne county is much bigger. so, 40% is a much bigger pool of votes. mccomb may come down to -- donald trump is carrying, but not as big as earlier. but michigan is going to go until the wee >> we should explain a little bit about mccomb county in the state of michigan. that's state where reagan brought a lot of democrats up to the republican party. bill clinton won them back in 1992, they've been fought over since then. >> it's always, winning michigan for a democrat was always run up
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as best as you can in oakland, mccomb, survive the rest of the state. that was always the winning strategy for democrats. now it looks like he's doing better than normal in mccomb, and the rest of the mitten, he's running up huge numbers. >> bill? >> i'm just looking at my own little math here. trump is running stronger in wisconsin than michigan, and is very likely to win there's more vote there, and he has a bigger margin. >> what are we seeing in wisconsin? >> 63% of the vote is in, and he has a commanding lead. so -- >> wisconsin is a smaller state than michigan. >> trump needs to hang on to iowa, win wisconsin, he's there. >> where are we in iowa? >> iowa is close. let's take a look. right now, trump has moved ahead
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>> tom llamas? >> one of trump's top aides on twitter, it's happening. >> what's happening? >> i don't know. but apparently it's happening, and they're very excited about it. the conventional wisdom throughout the campaign, bill was talking about this, was always wrong. so many of us shouldn't be vi surprised, he called this plus plus plus this week. he may be 100% right. and i was looking at amy's live shot from his watch party, he motivated white voters, and gave them a uniform. they're all wearing the make america great again hat. and to me, the big story, he motivated the white vote so much, he gave them a shot of espresso and a red bull chaser,
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more than the nonwhite vote. >> the trump campaign says it's
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back live in times square, after this. >> we're back now in times square. coming up on 11:30 now. the trump campaign saying it's happening. they believe they're on the way to victory. jon, if you look at the battleground states right now, donald trump isn't ahead in the states he needs to get 270 electoral votes.
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the south. he is, i think, has a very commanding lead, with 96% of the vote in, and all the democratic vote in, in southeast florida. so, move up to the state of north carolina. he's already won. pennsylvania is one state, look at this, george. 48%, 48%, trump with a slight lead. this is a state again that has not gone republican since 1988. a state i imagine few p thought trump had any chance of being close in. he has a tie. new hampshire, another state he had trailed, trump continues to have a lead, 64% of the vote in. go to michigan, it's tightened a bit. but donald trump still has a lead in michigan, almost half the vote is still out. wisconsin, maybe the shocker of them all. 65%, two-thirds of the vote is in, and donald trump has a
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clinton in wisconsin. >> getting back to what cokie brought up earlier, whether we're witnessing pushback to the idea of the first woman president. 41% of the men who went to the polls today, voted for hillary clinton, 53% for donald trump. and women, it's the reverse. hillary clinton 54%, donald trump, 42%. we haven't seen this gender gap since 1966. >> and i want to go to rebecca jarvis. markets around the world are watching the results. >> and they're selling off. dow futures are down more than 700 points. if that were to stick in tomorrow's trading session, it would be the single largest drop since the great recession.
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votes, looked like it had been in play for a while, donald trump not popular, but donald trump will win the state of utah. stays solid red right there. he's continuing to fill in that map. right now, 197 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 193 for donald trump. but as jon was showing you, he has many, many more paths to the 270 right now. >> if we go back and do the so here it is. hillary clinton, she's got colorado, virginia. he already has north carolina, ohio. if you give him florida, where he has a commanding lead, if you give him new hampshire, where he's leading. if you look at, now he's at 247. multiple ways for him to get to
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michigan, takes arizona. take michigan back out, he can win the state of wisconsin, and iowa, where he's leading and has led for some time in the polls. take wisconsin back out. he can win the state of pennsylvania. that puts him over the top. take pennsylvania back out. win the state of nevada, he's at 270. he has multiple plausible paths to 270 electoral >> so many paths for donald trump. coming up on 11:30 p.m. in the east. we'll be here right until the end. so much drama here tonight. could the biggest upset in presidential history be in the
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penzone declared the winner
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it's now 11:30 p.m. in the east. we have a projection. it's the state of florida. 29 electoral votes, they go to donald trump. donald trump has won the state of florida, one states, one of his keys to victory. he said all along, he was going to win that state. he has a home there, worked hard in this state. he pulled out a victory there, pulling ahead of hillary clinton. 222 electoral votes to 197 for hillary clinton. matthew, this is a big one. >> it's huge. this is the one, for the last month, the clinton folks said,
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donald trump got it, and now, he has many different ways to get to the 270 votes he needs to be the next president of the united states. >> cecilia, counting on a surge of latino votes, they got one, but it wasn't enough. >> it wasn't. and radio silence from brooklyn right now. we know that hillary clinton is in a hotel there with bill clinton and chelsea. just a couple of were getting details down to what their granddaughter was wearing, and what the catering was. i think the fact that how silent they are, speaks volumes to how nervous they must be. >> amy robach, exuberance in the trump camp. >> no one is silent here. i said people were smiling and laughing, now they're jumping up and down, screaming,
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were once florida, florida, florida, now they're saying president trump, president trump. shouting, smiling, people taking pictures. i think there's even a group singing right now. this is a very unexpected turn. and now this crowd won't stop cheering for the man they came to support. the night s anything but that. >> and washington, coming in, 11 electoral votes, it's going to hillary clinton. now, she has 209 electoral votes to his 222. donald trump doing very well across the middle, hillary clinton on the east coast. jon? >> hillary clinton has to win all these states in the industrial midwest, and hang on to nevada.
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table to become president. donald trump in the lead.
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those pictures tell the story. that's the hillary clinton campaign, you see tears at the clinton campaign. now, at the trump headquarters, you hear the cheers, you see the hats. donald trump has votes to 209 for hillary clinton. it's getting close. >> and in the war room in trump tower, they're getting very excited. we said conventional wisdom was wrong, and so is political science. everyone said they weren't ready for prime time, but they made
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people criticized them for that, but seems to have been smart. the visit to michigan, seems like a smart play. and the supporters still there, they put up with a lot, and now they're there. >> a small state, iowa, six electoral votes, last republican voted for, bush in 2004. it's gone to donald trump. and jon karl, now hillary clinton has one path? >> she basically she needs to win all of those states we just mentioned in that industrial midwest. pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, minnesota, and she needs to hang on to the state of nevada. if she does that, she narrowly wins. let's look at it on the possibilities board. so, here's where we are. if she wins michigan, new hampshire, nevada, pennsylvania,
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>> so, donald trump has many, many more paths. he's still leading. let's go through the states, he's still leading in most of those states. >> let's go back to the map. running out of states that are still open. pennsylvania, clinton now up slightly. but donald trump is up in new hampshire, 48% michigan, donald trump leading. wisconsin, donald trump is up three points, 70% remaining. minnesota, clinton has the lead. but right now, she has to win in three states where donald trump is leading. >> and wisconsin, a fairly healthy lead, three points? >> yes. and here's one county that caught my eye. if i can zoom back out, in
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door county, right here, he's got a three-point lead with, i'm sorry.
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paul penzone is about to take the stage right now. >> tonight, change has come for maricopa county. please welcome our next sheriff, paul >> thank you, guys so much. we appreciate it so very much. i just wanted to say i know all of you have been waiting for
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wanted to say the next big words, there's a new sheriff in town. >> how's everybody feeling tonight? i can't tell you what an honor it is to be here with you. i'm a blessed man. i have a beautiful fa i'm surrounded by people who care about this community and fought for this community so for that i thank you. after the 2012 election, i can't tell you how many times i was approached and asked, are you gonna run again? and i'd say the same thing over and over, i don't think so, but never say never.
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some of my opponents of supporters came to me and said, sheriff can't be beaten. know what i said? never say never. i want to thank you all for what you've done because we've made a statement across the nation. arizona stands for something greater that no matter where come from, what we look like or what our beliefs are, we're all entitled to respect. in that same vein i want you to understand i came from a background that wants to restore that respect, transparency, and confidence that the maricopa county sheriff's office needs because the men and women in that uniform deserves it and the men
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deserves it. we will no longer stand for the things that we've seen where the maricopa county sheriff's office has been identified because the notoriety of one. nolana know a sheriff's office that's appreciated because of the sacrifices of many. i'm looking forward to the opportunity to work with those men and women, i've heard from many of them time now, they want a chance to show you who they really are, what they really believe in, and that we're all collective i part of one community. -- collectively part of one community. i'll be honored to work with them, and i'm gonna call on them to have the patience and understanding to move in a new direction with new leadership
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represent. as a community, i'm gonna call on you to work with us, to work through these times that we've seen, not looking back but going forward. how collectively the only division we should ever see in a community is those that commit the crime and those of us who are willing to hold them accountable. and no one is above the law. so tonight, many have said is a historic moment but history won't be defined by what we do collectively moving forward to make maricopa county the safest county in the nation where --
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behalf of our families and children, seeing each other through eyes where we all have respect, where we look at the men and women in uniform who put their lives on the line for us and because we trust and have confidence, we appreciate them. they understand they serve a grateful community. tonight, to my understanding, a show low officer lost his life. that's the dark and difficult types in law enforcement and those are the moments we must recognize the sacrifice that come withs it and appreciate the men and women who do the job and at the same time those men and women will show appreciation for the community that stands with them. so i look forward as serving as your new sheriff. ( cheering ). >> it is an honor beyond words
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i want to thank stephen and john from the party who worked tirelessly with their staff and the volunteers throughout with the community. i want to thank my staff who from day one you could see the glimmer in their eye, they knew we were going to accomplish it. there was never a doubt in their mind and i'm do grateful for them. and our two boys grown men. my wife and i talked about this. i want you to hear these words, please. when i became an officer, i saw a man who i felt defined integrity and ethics and professionalism, and that's what inspired me. my wife and i spoke about the difference right now because of the challenges we face. we want our sons to see law enforcement through those same eyes where they know that law enforcement is there to care
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accountable and collectively we are one in the same, that's why i took on this fight. but let me tell you, i'm a blessed man because of the family i have and because of my strong wife, veronica. for those of you who don't know, my wife is a big fan of the rocky movies, and we were at home one night before the race started and she said, honey, you got to finish you started. and then she shared these wise words with me, she said, don't forget, in rocky 2, the good guy wins. so i have to say it, just like rocky did, veronica, i did it, we did it.
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>> historic night and the of an era for -- end of an era for sheriff arpaio. paul penzone elected sheriff of maricopa county. 24 years for sheriff joe arpaio. a stunning victory as well. winning handedly by thousands of votes. >> well send back to network coverage and have you covered with everything happening locally. get to that? just a matter of moments. while you were gone, calling trump for georgia and
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and we're back now, coming up on midnight in the east. donald trump, let's look at the map. he has the lead, 244 electoral votes to 209 for hillary clinton. you need 270 to win. you see the states out there right now. hillary clinton has to run the table right now, donald trump is ahead in most of the states right now. matthew, this is really something. we could have one of the biggest
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>> regardless of the final outcome, which i think heavily leans in donald trump's favor, this is the biggest political news story in at least 100 years. donald trump, not favored to win against 16 opponents, wins the primary, comes to an election totally behind, against the establishment, and he's about, not yet, but he's on the verge of pulling off. and i think we're going to look back at this, more so than any other presidential election. >> nate silver, you had a hillary clinton election over 70%. >> we were a lot more cautious because of the scenario
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underperforms in the midwest, she could win the popular vote, but there are a lot of swing states in the west, if you lose wisconsin, she can maybe hold michigan, pennsylvania, and get to a 269-269 tie. but when you lose ohio and iowa by three to five points, when michigan is in jeopardy, her voters are coasts. you have plenty of votes, maybe more than donald trump. but that leads to her maybe not winning the white house. >> and what is your projection? >> right now, clinton with a 20% chance, but that's without wisconsin being called. when wisconsin is called, she has to win arizona or some
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to the house of representatives. not much of a reward, because the house would be republican. but if she ran the table, it could be a tie. >> let's look at the states still out there. jon, start with wisconsin. >> stranger things have happened, i keep thinking, but i don't know if stranger things the odds that he would be the republican nominee were ast astronomically small, but now this has happened. michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und underperforming in wayne county, which is detroit.
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african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, and maybe some v the minimum wage are also voting for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, is a and pennsylvania.
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the average age of a homeless person is 9 years old. my dream is to help kids living on the streets with education. charles what's up man? -whoa! how can we help? -ah man! wait, is that a basketball player? yes! -wow! my heart's about to jump out my chest man. charles you ought to be proud man. i'm just extremely grateful they were here giving them some encouragement- that's something that these kids are going to remember for a lifetime. did you see his big old feet? look. whoa.
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the sonoran desert. and what's better than doing something amazing in my city? doing it for free! hey! we hear you! it's why a-a-r-p is keeping phoenix in motion with fun, free, cultural events for you and your friends. discover the stress relief of our drum circles or enjoy a night at the movies with us. if you don't think this is right for me when you think a-a-r-p, then you don't know "aarp."
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we want to take you back to new york for the latest. the new numbers coming in. take a look. >> donald trump now has 244 electoral votes, clinton leads 26 more, tom, what are you hearing? >> we got more information covering trump from the start, john gets this from a senior source, donald trump has left the world - - war will - - room and went to the trump house for a moment with his wife.

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