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tv   The O Reilly Factor  FOX News  November 6, 2016 5:00pm-6:01pm PST

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to engage in politics are punished by those who are dumber. we'll be back tomorrow. and don't forget the factor, it is coming up next. good night. i'll bill o'reilly. thanks for watching this sunday night edition of "the o'reilly factor." breaking news today and through the next hour we'll bring you the latest information on the presidential election. big story this evening. another letter by fbi director james comey and that is partially the subject of this evening's talking points memo. writing once again, he said the bureau has now reviewed all of the e-mails that were on huma abedin's computer. she is hillary clinton's top assistant as you know. the bureau found nothing that would change the stated outcome of the case that secretary clinton should not be charged
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with national security violations. of course, it is very good news for mrs. clinton who is under a shadow of corruption. however, you either believe hillary clinton is corrupt, or you don't. and anything short of an indictment is not going to change opinions. those who pull a lever for secretary clinton on tuesday surely know. she plays by her own rules, not those you and i are forced to absorb. it is quite hobus that the justice department under president has little interest in holding hillary clinton to account but every person knows that. and even though the democratic machine caught a break today there is still wikileaks which continues to torment the clinton campaign. apparently doug band who helped run the clinton foundation was concerned that chelsea clinton was using foundation assets for, quote, her wedding and life for a decade, unquote. and stated that in an e-mail to john podesta, which also said, quote, i hope you will speak to
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her and end this. we really don't know who her is. hillary or chelsea. but either way. it is clear that the clinton foundation money was being used for personal advantage for all three clintons. now, whether that is important to you the voter, remains to be seen. but it is important to talking points. every time the clinton foundation comes up, the clbts people say this -- the clinton people say this. >> as you know, the foundation does great work around the world and the distribution of aids drugs here in the united states and the distribution of drugs to battle opioid addiction. >> and that is the mantra that the foundation does a lot of good. and it does. but that is not the point. the charity foundations are supposed to be for charity. not individual gains. so once again -- once again hillary clinton has a dubious situation on her resume. and here is another one. on friday the rapper jay-z appeared at a clinton rally in cleveland. it was grim.
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♪ [ bleep ] ♪ ♪ >> that is the difference between traditional america and progressive america. j jay-z, a former drug pusher celebrated the dep prafity and using the rapper to stimulate votes in the african-american community. trump quickly hopped on it. >> he used every word in the book. i won't use the initials because i'll get in troubleme, they'll t me in trouble. he used language that was so bad and hillary said i did not like trump's lewd language. my lewd language. i'll tell you what, i would never said what he said in my life. >> so with 48 hours left before
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the media starts calling states, the campaign is as intense as ever. tuesday cannot come fast enough. and that is the memo. now for the top stories. polling out today. nbc news has clinton up by four. investors business daily has trump up by one and l.a. times, trump by five. and abc news tracking poll, clinton by five and florida cbs news has it at a dead heat tie. clinton 45 and trump 45. ohio, cbs has trump up by one. but the columbus dispatch has clinton up by one and in michigan, a detroit polls that clinton up by five. here in new york, patrick murray, director of monmouth polling and david morris, from the kiplinger letter. and we'll begin with you. trump is speaking at this moment in michigan. and which is unusual because usually you see that state -- we'll talk to sa-- talk to sara
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palin who is in michigan. and the comment that the second comey is rigged. and that is not a bad retort. i don't know if it is rigged or not. i doubt it. but to turn it around and try to use it for him, i think that is fairly clever. >> he has to do that. he's in a bind. he's behind nationally. he has to find some way to make the undecided, the few that are out there, come to his side. but i think it is already baked in. people who care about the e-mails have already decided and it is not going to make a differenceality t at the end of day. >> i hate the end of the day frad because there is a day and a half left before people go to vote. two points is real clear, politics separating clinton and that is within a margin of error. you are a pollster. so i'm seeing trump out-work hillary clinton. trump does six events today and hillary did two.
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i don't think it is over by my means. >> well, as you said in the memo, the key thing here is if there is an indictment, that would change people's p.m. so this is about getting people out to vote. this is why trump is working his backside off going to some is -- >> if you want justice, you have to vote for me. you are not going to get justice. >> getting those people out. and what we're seeing in the polling numbers right now is that hillary clinton has a slight lead, it has gone up and down but a lot of that has to do with enthusiasm that doesn't necessarily say who is going to get to the polls. so it is getting out there and getting to the key states, working to -- >> so you think trump is smart to kill himself on the road? >> he's got to. he's not no choice. and he has to go to some of the states like wisconsin and michigan and minnesota and because he has to flip the states based on the following. florida is close and ohio he has a lead and some of the things in the key states like florida and
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ohio, north carolina, the polls over the past two and a half weeks have moved in his direction. michigan hasn't moved in his direction. but he's got to get a state -- >> it is only five. he is only down by five. >> but the polls are -- >> are you going to have a new poll soon. >> we put out a national poll tomorrow. >> do you know what it is? >> we haven't finished interviewing. we'll finish tonight and we'll see what happens tomorrow. >> do you concur that trump could win this race mr. morris. >> he could. but it is an awfully steep climb. there are seven states that i think matter in this election and trump has to win all seven of them to -- >> tell us what they are. >> it is florida. >> we don't know. dead heat. >> ohio, i think trump will win. iowa, i think trump will win. arizona, trump will win. new hampshire he can win. maybe it could go either way. and it comes down to north carolina, where it is tight. he could pull that one off. nevada, i don't see how he wins nevada. no nevada -- no presidential
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trump. >> because in nevada, the latest polling is in his favor and he worked northern nevada very hard sh the reno area. we'll have the governor of north carolina on by the way in a few segments from now because i agree with you. north carolina at 8:00 on tuesday night might be called, if it is called for hillary clinton, everybody could go to sleep. >> it is crazy. but -- >> i don't think it will be called that early but there is so much early voting from north carolina, we might know soon. but if it is not and not called early or he wins north carolina or florida, we might be hanging on new hampshire. which is the one state where we have seen polling that has been very volatile just in the last five days alone. >> kelly ayotte, the senate republican has now pulled ahead by the wbir poll which is the poll up there. the boston university public broadcasting segment. so look, it is hard -- anything could happen. but what i'm seeing is, i think the momentum now for trump has
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slowed. would you say that it has slowed. >> maybe even stopped. let's see -- let's see what your poll shows tomorrow and let's see what the tracking dis-- >> the fox poll had a margin of error. >> it is not a question of momentum, it is a question of getting out the vote. >> so where we are probably going into tuesday and it is sunday night and we'll have a special report tomorrow too. where we are with a two-point lead by hillary clinton. but that could evaporate in a whisper if people don't show up to vote for hillary clinton. >> and we talk about michigan, state that probably matters the most which is pennsylvania and does not have early voting. so if people change their mind how people will come out to vote versus philadelphia -- that changes -- >> the minority in philly has to come out. >> and they have a transit strike in philadelphia right now so that could make it hard to vote. >> i don't know that. a transit strike. >> that is up in the air. >> and it is a democratic union and they could change their mind
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tonight. >> and get to the poll. >> all right, gentlemen. thank you very much. we appreciate it. and next on the rundown, we'll talk with sarah palin up in michigan. we haven't seen her for a whiefl. how does the governor see the upcoming vote and she'll look back on her experience. we'll be governor palin. remember when you said that men are superior drivers? yeah... yeah, then how'd i'd get this... allstate safe driving bonus check? ... only allstate sends you a bonus check for every six months you're accident-free ... silence. it's good to be in, good hands. which is good for me a 200-degree range of sight... hey! ... and bad for the barkley twins. take care of all your most important parts with centrum. with our most vitamin d three ever.
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right now she's being protected by a rigged system. it is a rigged system. i've been saying it for a long time. you can't review 650,000 new e-mails in eight days. you can't do it, folks. hillary clinton is guilty. she knows it. the fbi knows it. the people know it. and now it's up to the american people to deliver justice at the ballot box on november 8th. >> donald trump speaking in michigan this evening. just wrapped up a few minutes ago and a personal story segment tonight we're pleased to have sa sarah palin and she is in michigan and detroit where she is working for trump. do you have a prediction for us on tuesday, governor? >> well, if trump wins than america wins. and i heard you speaking with guests earlier asking if the trump momentum had stopped and i'm thinking you are not in michigan then. because they are hot, hot, hot
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for trump. and they -- they here desiring so much to be that comeback state. they understand that it is someone from the private sector who needs to get in there and shrink government and allow industry to really get revved up again. and that is what the michigan folks are looking for. >> and the polls say clinton is up by five. but he's given a big shot. and remember, i remember interviewing you eight years ago. and you wanted to campaign in michigan. but the mccain people said you could not. and of course, the state went to barack obama. do you feel, and are you willing to make a prediction that trump will carry michigan this time around? >> there is no reason why he wouldn't. there are these reagan democrats here. these blue-collar hard-working americans and maybe registered democrat but they so want the positive change for their businesses for that industry to be ushered in. and speaking to people all day today, there is so much enthusiasm for that positive
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change. so the polls, like i said before, bill, polls are only good for strippers and cross country skiers. what matters is two days from now the getting out the vote effort making sure these reagan democrats -- >> are you going to stay -- >> and folks and republicans get out there and cast their votes. >> are you going to stay in michigan to get out the vote there. is that your assignment? >> i think my assignment is i move to another local tomorrow for a couple of events. and i don't know, i don't know all of the inside baseball stuff. >> well you have to know where you are going? >> no, bill, believe it or not, you don't know where you are going sometimes. you go where -- >> where they suggest you go. well you are a good soldier for them. >> or you go rogue. >> and now think back two years ago. 48 hours from the bovote, did y think you and senator mccain would win? >> well, i did. because i'm the -- i'm always
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optimistic. but i remember two days out because i was sneaking phone calls out to conservative media markets, to you, to hannity, because some of the campaign folks were thinking that we needed to really concentrate on trying to shore up some -- of a liberal vote and we haven't spoken a whole lot to conservative outlets and i remember sneaking phone calls to you guys from a bus. >> i don't really -- i'm trying to think. we had you on a number of times, like this. a straight interview play. i don't know whether i -- yeah, i think i do remember a phone call. you called me at like 3:00 in the morning or something. >> probably. >> to wake me up. >> get your butt up and work. yeah. >> but this one, with trump, he's running a little bit ahead of what you guys were running. but he's still behind. according to polls. are you saying you don't believe the polls? you don't think they are
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accurate and, if so, why. >> it depends on who the pollster is of course. but the connections that the pollster has to -- >> but you have 2%. >> no. i don't put a whole lot of faith in polls. two days out. so many things change. history li historically we've seen changes take place in a lot of elections at the last minute and i think people are so ready for change that they know to fix the corruption that is so rampant in our federal government, you don't elect those who did the corrupting. and we have such a clear choice in this election. someone who has been part of the problem or someone who is bound and determined to work with us to fix the problem. >> do you know hillary clinton well? have you spoken with her? >> i have spoken with her husband. i have not spoken with hillary. >> you have never spoken to hillary clinton? >> i think i would remember. if i did. >> okay.
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the gender gap is going toward her on the female side. the male side overwhelmingly for donald trump. why? ? >> well, i would hope that women aren't buying into is that shtick going on right now, that vote for me just because i'm a gal. and we -- we've learned before to not base a vote based on, you know, gender or any kind of difference. but really on what that person stands for. and no, i think the women of america, they too, are wanting a cleaned up government just as much as the men are. gender -- >> well, again, the polling doesn't show that. if hillary clinton doesn't win the -- the women by 55% -- do you admire the fact that hillary clinton is running for president at all? do you have any admiration for her? >> i have admiration for anyone who has that tenacity, that drive to get out there and offer
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themselves up in the name of service to the american people. but no, not when it comes to hillary specifically, no. >> you think she's a corrupt woman? >> yeah. in a lot of ways, she is. >> so you agree with donald trump when he says crooked hillary and she should be in jail and you agree with all of that, that she isn't an honest individual. >> two days out, bill, i'm not here to indict hillary clinton. she will do that herself. and i believe that many more things that will come to light, people are going to realize that, no, she shouldn't be our leader. >> so you believe that come election day, only two days away, that light bulbs are going to go off and trump will win big? do you think he's going to win big? >> i think he is. and i think america is going to win right along with him. he is going to allow us to make america great again. >> all right, governor. we appreciate you taking the time. we know you are busy tonight.
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thank you. directly ahead, if trump wins north carolina, he has a very legitimate shot to become president. we'll talk with the governor of that state in just a few moments. campaign 2016 segme
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tonight, north carolina. it is a must-win state for donald trump. right now latest polls are split. trump leading by five in the trafalgar poll and up in the quinnipiac poll. and pat mccrory is locked in a tight race with cooper. he joins us now from raleigh. so polls are split. wral tv poll is a pretty good poll. if my memory serves me.
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how do you see it coming down, governor? >> i think everything is dead even in north carolina. it is going to be all dependent upon who gets the vote out. i believe in north carolina, i have a prediction that there is a silent majority in north carolina. i've been hearing it for months in my campaign and trump's campaign and in richard burres campaign where there is almost this intimidation from the far left for people not to want to say who they are for. mccrory or trump or bhurr. and people are going, i'm with you. i'm with you. that whispering silent majority. and to turn that poddel so far as show -- model so far is showing that our turnout is big right now in north carolina in early voting and especially among independent voters and among republican voters, while democrat votes are down in north carolina in comparison to president obama's 2012. so there doesn't seem to be the passion for hillary clinton as they -- as the democrats had for
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barack obama. and i think there is clinton fatigue. it is almost like, when she spokes, we're going back to the '90s again and reliving the 90s and i think people don't want to relive the '90s with hillary clinton. >> if charlotte was taken out of the equation, you would win easily and probably trump would win easily. charlotte, that colossus is a liberal town and heavy minority vote. so that is where it is locked in right there for hillary clinton, correct? >> no, actually, i'm doing pretty well in charlotte. i was mayor of charlotte for 14 years and the charlotte tv region, we're doing actually very well. i think the biggest adversary for myself and richard burr and donald trump is in the raleigh durham triangle where there are a lot of universities. >> where you are now. >> right. but today i was in chapel hill and someone waved to me with one finger and instead of five and they meant it. >> okay. well we know that the urban areas almost all across the
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country are more liberal. but you have the riots in charlotte, you had the trouble there. there is a lot of outside money, i understand, coming into those areas to get hillary clinton and your opponent elected. is that true, first of all, outside money coming into north carolina? >> absolutely. a lot of source money. a lot of california money coming into the charlotte metro areas. but we're seeing a silent majority come out to vote, the statistics are showing in early voting. and if it is even or we're slightly behind in early voting. i think we're all going to win it. so i would make the prediction for the republican ticket in north carolina. >> all right, now -- >> but most people don't realize we're the ninth most popular -- populous state in the united states. >> and a huge demographic and northers come down and north carolina is a nice place to live. your polls close at 8:00 eastern time? >> yeah. 7:00 i believe.
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but we have early voting. we have some of the most liberal early voting rules in the united states. and yet, the president came down and criticized north carolina -- i think he was trying to get the vote out but in fact, in new york where hillary clinton lives where they do not have the early voting or registration like north carolina so we've had early voting. >> so you close at 7:00. that means by -- by 7:30, possibly, that state may be called, your state may be called? >> i doubt that very much. i think early voting, we've never had a called election. i ran in 2008 and lost the closest governor's election in the united states. in 2012, i won by 11 points. and no one has ever called election that early. i anticipate it going very late in north carolina and again it is going to be dependent upon who votes and who gets the vote out. there is no doubt about that in my mind. >> when you won -- >> to see some enthusiasm there.
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>> why do you think you aren't as dominant in 2016 as you were in 2012. what has changed? >> money coming into this state. i've been out spend two to one by source money and left-wing money. i'm the incumbent governor and i've been outspent almost two to one. so the negative ads are absolutely incredible. >> did that have to do with the transgender bathroom situation? do you think that is -- >> some of it. but most people in the nation don' that brought that issue to north carolina and not the right. that is what more is ironic. they brought to issue to defer the attention away from when i came into office we had 9.4% unemployment rate and we are 4.7% and we lowered corporate tax and income tax and give teacher pay raises and they had to divert to the attention and that is what the left is doing. >> we appreciate you coming on today. north carolina as stated is probably the most important
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state along with florida and ohio for the presidential election. good luck, governor. thank you for coming on. >> thank you very much. appreciate it. >> and as the factor moves along on sunday evening. we'll talk with the governor of colorado, another tight state that trump needs to win. and later bernie goldberg might have a prediction for us and if he does not, we'll make fun of him. we hope you stay tuned for those reports. simulation initiated.
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and why a pro football team chose us to deliver fiber-enabled broadband to more than 65,000 fans. and why a leading car brand counts on us to keep their dealer network streamlined and nimble. businesses count on communication, and communication counts on centurylink. of the factor, 48 hours before we begin calling states for trump or hillary clinton. and in denver, the glover of colorado, john hickenlooper. so your state has secretary clinton ahead by three points according to the real clear average. why so close? >> we're still a purple state. we're almost exactly the same republicans and democrats they are more unaffiliated voters than republicans or democrat. so even though hillary was ahead by eight or nine points, a couple of months ago, everyone
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knew and expected i think it would tighten up a little bit. >> what about the johnson factor, the libertarian candidate and he is a bill legalized pot guy and you have legal marijuana there. will he perform better in colorado and the other states, it shows when he declines, trump picks up. so trump -- is a beneficiary of his decline and hillary -- when he does well, jonathan, takes on the chin a little bit. how do you see johnson? >> well, as close as i could tell last year. he's really taking almost evenly from both the clinton campaign and the trump campaign. if anything, maybe a little more from trump. but it doesn't seem to have a whole lot of traction here, to be honest. >> he is not doing that well. i saw one poll where he was up nine or ten. but you don't see that. >> i don't think it is up that high. >> no. now i worked in denver at channel 7, 36 years ago. >> i remember.
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>> and i was a different state -- it was a different state then. it was a far, far different state. much more traditional conservative and much more western. now so many people have come there from other states and from mexico, a lot of hispanics that have moved into denver. into that area. because there is so much work. what effect has the hispanic vote had on the state? >> well, i think an awful lot -- colorado is a spanish word, it is -- we've always had a large hispanic population here. certainly as we diversify the economy, going back into the mid 1980s, i came out here as a geologist in the beginning and the price of oil collapsed and there was a real conscious effort to diversify the economy into aerospace and advanced manufacturing and technology. and as that happened, people have moved in from all parts of the country at all levels and if you actually look at the percentages in terms of migration, the hispanic migration is a relatively small
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percent. i think it still helps hillary clinton just because donald trump is attacked hispanics so frequently. but generally speaking it shouldn't be that big of a role -- >> and so it is irning to see the -- interesting to see the demographic votes ton colorado. trump spent some time in colorado, hillary clinton not so much. been there once or twice but trump has been there ten times. will that matter? >> no, i don't think so. i think trump has been trying to rebuild, especially after the -- the video came out with his comments about assaulting that woman. that has been a hard thing for him to recover. because colorado, democrats and republicans and unaffiliated are very family-value oriented. and he has spent a lot of time out here making up -- making up lost ground there i think. >> but it worked to some except because even as you -- extent, because even as you acknowledged in the interview, he was ahead by ten and now it is two or
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threech and i don't know whether the personal appearances are working. i wanted to get that advantage point from you. hillary clinton does not seem to be, and forgive me if i'm being presumptuous here, a colorado-type gal. you guys are all about the outdoors. agree with you that the family is a center of the state. you have the university towns like boulder which are going to be progressive left and aspen and those enclaves. but the real folks who are out there are traditional folks and hillary clinton strikes me as a machine politician. and i'm not sure -- see, i think, if trump takes colorado, that he wins the presidency. if he could do nevada and colorado out there and sweep the states he needs back here, he wins and i think he has a shot in colorado. would you say he does not? >> i would say he as a steep hill to climb. and i think colorado is a traditional state but also a place very collaborate and people work together. if you go back to upstate new york and talk to some of the republicans up there, after they
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worked with hillary clinton while she was a senator, remember, she barely won her u.s. senate seat when she first ran but when she ran for re-election she won by become a two third majority and that came from upstate new york. and she brings people together and sort out problems an create a compromise and that sells really well in colorado. >> so he believe she will win by how much? >> you know, i'm saying 6 or 7 points because otherwise i have a hard time sleeping. i think that -- i think the shift has gone back the other way and i think she's beginning to make up a lot of that ground that was lost. and i think six or seven points. >> so you are fairly comfortable that she takes colorado. if she does not take it and this is a hypothetical and i try to stay away from that but we have to do that now. if trump beats her in colorado, upsets her, would it be because of the corruption, the foundation and e-mails and all of that? >> no, a., i don't think she
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will lose. just like governor mccrory was talking about the early voting. the early voting here has favored democrats much more than republicans. they are up about four or five percent compared to 2012 when president obama won by five points. so i think there is a pretty good momentum. but if by some chance he were to win, i'm going to get that somehow there was a -- an unhappiness or just dissatisfaction with the system that he talked to -- that is the only thing i could understand that would really -- get him a victory here in colorado. i just -- it is hard to imagine how that would happen. >> all right. governor, we appreciate your time tonight. thank you. i would like you to come back. i want to talk about the marijuana deal after the election is over. >> sure. >> and the balance of of social problems versus revenue and things like that. so it is an interesting issue. >> it is. when we come back. we'll take a look at the pennsylvania vote. another crucial state for donald trump. then we'll talk with bernie goldberg. it's endless shrimp at red lobster.
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continuing now, with this sunday evening election edition of the factor. if trump wins pennsylvania, hey, he might be president of the
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united states. right now the harper poll has a tie in the keystone state. but all-in polls have hillary clinton up by an average of 2.4% in the commonwealth. joining us now from philadelphia, senate chris coons of delaware. for people that don't know their geography, delaware is a suburb of philadelphia, because it is a lot easier to live in philadelphia than it is in some portions of pennsylvania. so you know that turf. and i'm going to ask you the same thing i asked john hickenlooper, why is it so close in pennsylvania. it is historically a democratic leaning state. >> pennsylvania hasn't voted for a republican candidate for president since 1988 and i don't think it will end up being close on tuesday. i think what we're going to see on election day here is that the investment that the clinton campaign has made in the ground game, the focus that they've brought to their campaign in planning and preparing for election day is going to ultimately produce a very strong
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turnout across the state of pennsylvania. >> if that is true -- >> and a win for secretary clinton. >> if that is true. if minorities go out in philadelphia and in great numbers, rivaling barack obama, i think you are right. but you have to cede that it is a battleground state, pennsylvania. trump has an event in scranton where i started on channel 16 at wnep and all over the state. trump and pence have been in pennsylvania, pennsylvania. 2.4 is within a margin of error. so again i'm going to ask you, what is it that is driving the trump vote in the keystone state? >> well, it is interesting to me so to see melanie trump here last week because there is nervousness in the trump campaign that they've lost the republican women of the suburbs. four collar counties that the suburbs come out in high numbers. she was here in the state of pennsylvania. i'm trying to connect with voters after a number of polls
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and a number of surveys showed that trump's offensive comments about women, his tape suggesting that he engaged in not just sexual harassment but assault and was bragging about it was really hurting him. he was down by -- well i don't think -- >> well there is not -- >> and that has produced momentum for clinton -- about. >> but it hasn't shown in the polls. and i don't like the assault -- because that is adjudicated in a court of law. but say you are right and women in pennsylvania were initially put off or still are put off by mr. trump's lifestyle and his use of vernacular. isn't it true that hillary clinton's problems with the fbi, with the foundation, countered that to some extent. because if what you are saying were true, then he would be behind by ten points in pennsylvania. trump would be losing by ten.
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and he's not. it is a statistic cal tie. so i'm seeing a balance here. i'm seeing a lot pennsylvania residents not really knowing what to do. this way, they go that way. now you say they shifted back to hillary clinton. do you have any data to back that up? >> what is striking is that the most expensive senate race in the whole country is pat toomey against katie -- and there is $130 million spent on that. and we've seen an absolutely avalanche of ads by both the clinton and trump campaigns. the clinton campaign ads predominantly feature trump himself saying outrageous or offensive or unsettled things whereas the most trump ads that we've seen recently have been rooted in false hoods, just today fbi director comey cleared secretary clinton again. of any issue related to these e-mails. and most of the attack ads that we've been seeing recently from trump suggest that there is some conspiracy and she's about to be
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charged with some crime which is clearly not true. >> she's not going to be charged with a crime in the foreseeable future, that is for sure. but their both negative ads, clinton ads are negative toward trump and trump ads are negative for clinton rather than saying vote for me because i'm a good guy. and the toomey, mcgunty race, it is a tie. >> it is a close race. >> morning call has it -- toomey up by one. and graphis has them up by two. and those are the latest numbers that came in. so i really think the people are conflicted in pennsylvania. it is going to be fascinating to see it. i'll give you the last word. >> well, i think what we're going to see here tomorrow night terrific, positive get out the vote rally. as he know, joe biden, my predecessor, a native of scranton, pennsylvania one of the most effective campaigners and closers in american history and i suspect we'll see history repeat on tuesday where
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pennsylvania will once again go democrat and that means there will not be -- >> there could be a path to victory. >> i want biden and trump, they were going to duke it out. >> that would be good. >> on monday night, i'll carry that live. senator, we appreciate it. thank you very much. bernie goldberg on deck. will he make a prediction in we'll find out when we come back. @!@!
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betting on presidential race three to one in favor of
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secretary clinton. number one, you have lavish homes in both north carolina and florida. does does that mean you can vote in both states? >> don't do this. that's against the law and you know it. >> looking out for you because i don't want you to be tempted to break the law. you vote in florida, right? >> that's right. i vote in florida. >> let's take north carolina you kn you know the state. you live in the mountains or the foothills or whatever. going to go for trump or clinton? >> >> so you are asking me about florida and north carolina. there are 50 states and you give me the two toughest ones. >> those are the ones you live i >> >> you could have given me california and alabama. i can give you those two. florida is going to be a toss up. it is it is real close.
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i'm not telling you anything you don't know. where have to give a slight edge to hillary clinton in north car but but would you like my overall pre >> we >> we have a little time with you unfortunately tonight. we had a spanish journalist on she sai she said that the cubans in dade where you live are going to break for trump because they don't like the obama administration. >> i he >> i heard that. i was very surprised. if that happens then he'll win florida. just just as a general rule and generalizations don't always work, the older cubans who came here early on are conservative and they will vote republican. the younger ones, they don't -- they are more democratic. that is why dade county and miami usually goes democratic. >> so you think that hillary clinton has a slight edge in
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florida. why? why? >> >> just going by the polls. >> just the polls. >> and there is a lot of influx of new hispanics, puerto ricoens in the middle of the state. if the middle of the state goes whichever way the middle of the state goes and i think it will go probably for hillary, that is who -- >> spending a lot of time on the i-4 corridor between orlando and >> i'm >> i'm saying it is close. very close. >> going to north carolina even the governor didn't know whether he was going to win or not. a lot of stuff floating around. >> north carolina isn't the north carolina of years ago. >> no. >> north carolina is pretty sophisti he he talked about the research
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triangle, a lot of college educated liberal people. it's in a three college area. unc, chapel hill, north carolina state, duke. you know, if you took that out of the equation as the governor said then trump wins -- >> trump will carry mayberry. he will have a hard time in raleigh. >> >> you don't think hillary has a slight edge in north carolina, as well? >> yes. no, in florida i said it is a in in north carolina i think she has a slight edge. i'm waiting for you to ask me about the overall. >> if that is the case and hillary wins florida and north c >> i >> i will make an overall prediction but first i need to extract a promise from you. that is that if i get this
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wrong -- >> i would never mention it. >> so here is my prediction. which a couple of weeks ago, two weeks ago i was much more confident in this prediction. tonight i'm not all that confident in it, but i think hillary is going to win. i think the electoral college works against republicans. i think she will get more than 300 electoral college votes. i will give you a number, 340 give or take a few. and if donald loses it will be because he can't escape from all the things he said and did in order to win the nomination. the insults, the provocations, the demeanor, the symbolic giving of the middle finger to everybody who disagreed with h that that worked with his most passionate supporters. i never thought that would work with the majority of the american voters. >> i think you are close. i can't make a prediction out of
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this race, wouldn't be fair for me to do it. i think the hard edge on immigration made it more difficult for him to persuade hispanic americans that he has something economically to give them and therefore if hispanics come out big because i do not think african-americans will. i think it will be a lot closer than everybody else because i think the black voting in south philly and chicago and doesn't matter in illinois but other cities not at the level of barack obama. that will help trump. last word. >> i agree. anybody who thought that the black vote was going to be the same as when barack obama ran wasn't paying attention. but i still think hillary -- >> we'll see. he will be back on wednesday and i'll never bring up what he said factor will be right back
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with a preview of tomorrow's big edition. a fi truck even a marching band. and if i can get comfortable talking about this kiester, then you can get comfortable using preparation h. for any sort of discomfort in yours. preparation h. get comfortable with it. but dad, you've got...tes are probably gonna double. allstate. with accident forgiveness they guarantee your rates won't go up just because of an accident. smart kid. indeed. it's good to be in, good hands.
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tom tomorrow monday we go back to our usual format with mail and tip of the day. we will have an extraordinary election eve broadcast. pr waters, live shot from times square. he he might not come back from chris w chris wallace will be here and possibly donald trump. we'll see. all that tomorrow on the factor. on tuesday i will be here. i will be annoying someone. wednesday we have another tremendous lineup for the after the vote. also we would like you this evening if you have a chance to go to billo' we have a bunch of interesting things on the election there.
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thank thank you for watching this sunday edition of o'reilly. breaking tonight with less than 48 hours left before the polls open the fbi makes big what what will it mean on tuesday? welcome to the kelly file. i'm megyn kelly live here in our brand new studio as we stand on the door step of election day. usually at this point all the research is out and bombs have been dropped. this is 2016 and a shocker broke about six hours ago. fbi director james comey announcing that the bureau is done reviewing that massive trove of new clinton e-mails and


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