tv Around the World CNN October 22, 2013 9:00am-10:01am PDT
>> kelvin munoz, i love you, man. and you know what? so does your mother. oh. i can barely watch those videos. thank you for watching everyone. around the world starts where around the world starts where the suzanne malveaux. -- captions by vitac -- www.vitac.com >> the holding out hope, couples of missing children around the world, they are hoping that this little girl found in greece is their daughter. plus, two jumbo jets with almost 1,000 people on board coming dangerously close to crashing in mid-air. details of a new report up ahead. and smog so thick that you can't even see a few steps in front of you. the dangerous pollution levels that are closing schools, roads and even an airport in china. welcome to "around the world." i'm suzanne malveaux. michael holmes is off today. it has happened again.
we are talking about another blonde haired blue-eyed girl been found with parents who look nothing likeler, raising suspicions she might not be their daughter. the latest child was found in ireland. this comes just days after authorities in greece found another little girl with blonde hair and blue eyes with parents who did not resemble her. so were they adopted? were they abducted? in both cases the children were found with parents who were romani romanian. that is people of an ethnic community who have darker complexions which is why the children have raised suspicions. aaron mclaughlin has details on both mystery girls. >> there are more questions than answers surrounding this mysterious girl only known as maria found living with a roma couple who were not her parents. medical tests indicate that in rea is between 5 to 6 years old, ohher than originally thought. a greek children's charity called the smile of the child has launch aid public appeal to
find her real parents. there are about 10 cases of missing children they are looking at very seriously including children from the united states, canada, poland, and france. meanwhile, members of the roma community in which she was found have rallied behind the couple now charged with her abduction, releasing video footage to show she was happy and cared for. the couple is expected to be transferred to separate prisons later today and will remain in police custody for the duration of the trial. now, in a completely separate case, police have removed a 7yer-year-old blonde girl from the home of a roma family in ireland on monday afternoon. a police spokesperson tells cnn the girl is now in the care of social services. the moment police are not revealing the circumstances surrounding had other girl. aaron mclaughlin, cnn, london. >> so the suspected abduction of little maria by this couple has the entire roma community in greece on edge. you can imagine here.
they fear a backlash because this case plays into old prejudices about the romas stealing children for forced labor. discrimination against the roma dates back centuries. watch. >> they are europe's poorest citizens and largest minority. numbering about 10 to 12 million. the european union says 90% live below the poverty line. many in ramshackle camps or care va vans, isolated and detested by the rest of society. they've been labeled gypsies because of their nomadic heritage and lifestyle. their suffering began from the time they arrived from india, 1,000 years ago. countries passed laws to suppress their culture and keep them out of the mainstream. they were enslaved and hungry and romania in the 15th century. and targeted for extermination by the nazis 500 years later. the u.s. holocaust museum says the fate of the roma in some
ways paralleled that of the jews. they were subjected 0 internment, forced labor and the museum estimates up to 220,000 romas were killed during the war. today, prejudice continues. according to amnesty international, romas are being evicted from settlements in france, including evictions by the french government. their children face school segregation in greece and their cases where they've been denied jobs and turned away at hospitals across the continent. >> and there is under way now an effort to stop the severe of discrimination against the roma. eastern european countries have now committed to improving education, health, employment as well as their housing. 2.8 billion people flying every year around the world still remains the safest form of travel, but a few scary moments in the skies. this is over scotland. have some folks asking, how does this -- how could this actually happen. you have two passenger planes
coming dangerously close to a collision. at one point, they were just three miles apart. renee marsh has been following this on the close call and the investigators who actually have determined who was responsible. >> reporter: mid-air over scotland, two 747 jumbo jets carrying up to 1,000 passengers are on a path to collide. and british investigators say it's because the pilots didn't follow the instructions from air traffic control. >> this is very hard to explain because it appears that two airplanes with two pilots in each airplane, everybody got it wrong initially. >> the problem started when one plane, jet two, asked the control tower for clearance to climb in altitude. it was cleared. but that put it at the same altitude as another plane, jet one. the two planes were now on a converging path and moving closer by the second. the controller realizing that stepped in to prevent a collision. >> he gave instructions to the
pilot on the right to go to the right and on the left to go to the left. the conclusion of the british investigators was that each pilot did what the other pilot was instructed to do, and the planes turned toward each other. >> at their closest point, the two planes were about three miles apart hernandezly and 100 feet vertically. that's under the minimum separation requirement. >> we have the several layers of protection and we got down to some of the last ones. the pilot saw the other airplane and said so and the collision avoidance system activated properly. >> the automatic alarms alerted the pilots and they corrected their paths. former faa accident investigator stephen wallace says it's rare four pilots get the instructions so wrong, but the safety nets kicked in, and that he says should give comfort to airline passengers. he adds, there hasn't been a collision between u.s. airliners since 1978. want to bring in renee marsh in washington. renee, talk about the fact that
british investigators are now looking into how this whole thing went so wrong. how was it both pilots just misunderstood the directions they were supposed to be following. >> amazing. you know, we spoke to some experts who say this is really rare where you have four pilots who did not hear the instructions. investigators we can tell you, they are at a loss for why these pilots either misheard or misinterpreted the control tower's instructions. that despite at least one of the crews actually repeating the instructions correctly. we know that investigators so far, they've ruled out the possibility of call sign confusion because the call signs of these twos planes were just so different. but another possibility that they're looking into, suzanne, is whether the pilots may have been distracted in the cockpit. >> and give us a sense of what this means when you talk about three miles apart vertically, 100 feet horizontally. what is the minimum separation supposed to be between aircraft? what is normal. >> right.
in this particular area where they were, it's about five miles horizontally and a thousand feet vertically. so you see quite a difference there. 1,000 feet vertically versus what they actually -- what their distance actually was, which was 100 feet. so that was well under what was considered the minimum separation requirement, suzanne. >> can only imagine what the passengers were thinking when this he saw the plane so close. renee, appreciate it as always. here's more of what we're working on. there's growing anger now in kenya avidio appears to show soldiers looting from the mall right after the deadly attack. and plus, the jobs report is out now after it was delayed due to the government shutdown. we're going to break down the numbers, see how the markets are now reacting. also, paralyzing smog in china. so thick it is causing car accidents, closed an airport, stores, even selling out of face masks. that up next. [ male announcer ] this is pam.
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welcome back. let's look at some of the stories making news around the world. first in london where 11 foreign secretaries meeting to discuss syria. they are called the so-called friends of syria holding talks with leaders of the syrian opposition forces. they're hoping to bolster peace talks that are planned for next month in geneva, switzerland. the so-called london 11 are being hosted by william hauge, britain's foreign secretary who says syria's president bashar al assad should have no role in a democratic syria.
john kerry also weighed in, as well. >> we came here to london, i think this is the fourth or fifth meeting that i have taken part in as part of the london 11, in order to reaffirm the international community's strong commitment to trying to end the blood shed in syria and to try to bring stability to that war-torn country and to provide sanctuary and utley an opportunity to return to their country for the millions of refugees and displaced people. >> under pressure from the u.n., syria has begun to dismantle its chemical weapons stockpile, but a civil war, of course, continues to rage on with more than 100,000 people have been killed so far. and in kenya here, this is video that surfaced from inside the westgate mall in nairobi during the massacre or shortly after.
this is a month after that attack that claimed at least 67 lives. the leaked video has sparked anger because it appears to show soldiers looting from the stores as they hunted for the gunmen. kenya's president has now ordered an inquiry into those claims. in nevada, people in the small town of sparks, this is near reno are trying to figure out why, why did a 12-year-old student pull out a semi-automatic acpistol at sparks middle school and open fire? this all happened within two minutes. students were screaming, they were running for cover. a teacher who was trying to help was shot dead. two students were also wounded and the shooter died after turning the gun on himself. well, the teacher credited for shielding students was 45-year-old marine veteran michael lands berry. he had survived several tours in the battlefield in afghanistan. the name of the shooter has not yet been released. well, today, only the second time ever that the jobs report
was released late. it was delayed 18 days, of course, by the government shutdown. the labor department now says 148,000 jobs were added in september. that is 45,000 actually less than the previous month. the markets seem to be responding well to the numbers so far. dow up 47 points. s&p 500 meanwhile opening at record high this morning. christine romans breaking it down, the jobs report and why there might be more to the numbers than actually meets the eye. >> suzanne, the 7en 2% unemployment rate the lowest since november 2008. when you look at the trend, so far this year, about 185,000 jobs on average created each month. that is enough to slowly whittle down the unemployment rate. but a very big caveat here. these are numbers for september. these are numbers before the shutdown and we do know that consumer confidence and employer confidence has plummeted in the days since that shutdown. so the next report will be key.
that one comes out novemberth. let me show you where we were seeing ink he lings in hiring. in transportation it is warehousing 23,400 jobs creates, recovery in the auto sector. manufacturing, about 2,000 jobs created in the manufacturing sector. retail jobs, 20,800. some of these are auto dealer jobs, some of these are also home improvement and retailers like that is, showing some of the robust recovery we've been seeing so far in the housing market. again, it all remains to be seen what kind of effect the government shutdown had on some of this activity. we've been seeing it in the economy. quickly, you always hear me talk about private sector job creation. you want to have the atmosphere where the private sector is creating jobs, 126,000 jobs created there. public sector jobs created 22,000, municipalities. we'll likely see that change in the next report because of the furloughs and because of the layoffs and the attendantent
business around those industries that started to decline because of the shutdown. at a critical moment here, rearview mirror, but it confirms to us what we've already known, slow healing in the labor market. will washington muck it up? we'll find out next month. >> christine, thanks. in the wake of the shutdown, the number of americans who say the economy is actually in good shape has now dropped to the lowest level of the year. only 29% say that the current economic conditions are good. this is down 47 points since late september, just before the shutdown began. the other 71% of americans think that conditions are poor. looking ahead, only 40% say that the economy's an actually going to be in good shape a year from now. that is the lowest level of optimism since october, 2011. we are following this, as well. visibility nearly zero for millions in china. they are living in this, terrible smog. going to show you how they're coping up next. [ male announcer ] when you have sinus pressure and pain,
all right. imagine trying to take a nice deep breath and the air smells like smoke. you can't even see more than a few feet in front of you for days now. well, this is what has been like for 10 million people in the chinese city of harbin. the pollution so bad now, it is ranked anywhere from 30 to 50 times above the international standard for the past few days. people have schools, major roads and airport even closed. now, the government is blaming the smog on a lack of wind.
farmers burning stalks after their autumn harvest. also the city fired up its coal burning heating system earlier than it usually does for the winter season. so one of the ways that people in harbin are protecting themself is by wearing face macks, macks usually and actually imported from the united states. dave mckin zi is looking at how bad this air has gotten and what china can do about it. >> reporter: on a bad day -- >> canadian kevin lau faces a dilemma. >> i feel bad it's bad for the people but it's good for the business but on a sunny day you can go out and do stuff. >> lau else is an innovative face mask. >> it's quite simple. it's basically like a magic tape here. >> reporter: and china's smog is good for business. >> so you clip it on like this. >> imported from the u.s., it's designed to filter out harmful particles and gases for long-term health benefits.
>> you can't go back in time. you go back in ten years wearing a mask. >> the damage is done. >> yeah, it's already done. >> reporter: the difference between a blue sky day here in beijing and a polluted one can be dramatic. right now, it's rated as very unhealthy by the u.s. embassy monitoring site. but in harbin in northeast china, the pollution has been off the charts. dense, acrid, smog brought this city of 10 million to a standstill. schools are shut, dozens of flights canceled, highways closed. visibility down to almost zero. pollution, 40 times the who recommended standard. the local government blamed it on harbin's coal-powered central heating turned on over the weekend. but critics say china's pollution is a terrifying side effect of the country's decades long obsession with growth. weary of social unrest, communist party officials have
announced new stringent measures. they want to meet their own acceptable standards by 2020, w.h.o. standards by 2050. >> you you have to breathe through your nose. >> that's good nose for lau's growing business. he's struggling to keep up with demand. catering to all kinds of tastes. is heing a product for the new reality of china. >> do you think people are getting used to wearing something like this? >> i think it's okay. >> it's a reality that could last for decades. david mckenzie, cnn, beijing. >> a new reality in china. how dangerous is breathing the smog? what is causing this? i want to bring in chad meyers to talk about this. it is really extreme because lung cancer and smog direct correlation. and you've got millions of people here who they've got to stay inside now. >> the world health organization has already said that the people living in these cities will live five and a half years less than
they could have without this pollution. it's going to take five and a half years off every man, woman and child. this is an average. these particles are in the lungs and stay in the lungs. even if you're wearing an n-95 mask which blocks out 95% of everything out there, you still get a 5% dose. we're at 40 times the level that is safe. wearing a mask doesn't even get you to the safe category if you are outsided in some of these cities. the good news is, this is going to get better probably in 1 hours or less. we're going to see this get a lot better. a cold front will come through and the air gets better. the air gets clearer. other than that, this it is every time the air stops moving in these cities, it's going to happen to these cities is up there in china because of the way they make power. they make heat. there's the harbin there seeing the gray and then off to the east where it's black, that's the clear air. every little valley gets polluted a lot like denora, pennsylvania, was polluted from
the same type of coal burning back in the day. that's all i ever heard of growing up in in pennsylvania, buffalo how bad the air got that the day when all those people had a very hard time breathing >> it's going to wrap up in a couple days. they're expecting some rain to at least give temporary relief. but this is a long-term problem they have to deal with. >> every time the air stagnates, this is going to happen. >> chad, thank you so much. i can't imagine what it's like to live there. it's brutal. it really is. everybody knows the problems, of course. we'll talk about this with the website, obama care website. trying to get health care insurance. want to hold on for a sec. there are some success stories out of this. and the state run programs they might actually have the answer. we've got those details up next. ] i have a big meeting when we land, but i am so stuffed up, i can't rest. [ male announcer ] nyquil cold and flu liquid gels don't unstuff your nose. they don't?
welcome back to "around the world." here are top stories we're following. rights groups are saying some u.s. drone strikes in pakistan and yemen may actually be war crimes. that is right. amnesty international and human rights watch detail multiple drone attacks, including several that have killed civilians. a highly critical reports were made public a day before president obama is due to meet with pakistan's prime minister. the report calls for a series of measures to bring the drone
program in line with international law. including impartial investigations into several cases. bringing those responsible for human rights violations to justice, and offering compensation to the families of those civilian victims. 22 days into the rollout of the new health care website, the program's website. some people are actually able to log in. others still facing problems we know, even the president admits that there are problems that have plagued the online application process. buliston this. it turns out that the state-run obama care programs, the so-called state exchanges have been operating rather smoothly. that's good news. senior medical correspondent elizabeth cohen joins us for some good news. why is this different than the way the federal government is running its programs? >> it's interesting. i talk to folks in kentucky and new york and said what did you do right? i want to know. i talked to other experts, too. it kind of boils down to three principles. and so the first principle is
that many of these states got started really early the minute this law passed, years ago, they started, whereas the fed spent a lot of time in 2010, '11 and 2012 trying to get states do their own sites and weren't focused on healthcare.gov as much. efficiency, this one is really, really important. in new york and kentucky, it seeps like it was very lean and mean, very streamlined. in kentucky, the state workers and the contractors were in one building like they were all there together getting the job done. by many accounts for the federal site, when contractors had questions, they didn't get answered so quickly. there was an election going on, stuff happening and there may have been some bureaucracy going on that impeded efficiency. the third one is an interesting technical point. if you go on healthcare.gov, it is not sort of automatic. now it's better but before it was even less automatic that you could window shop. could you put in just a little bit of information about
yourself and window shop. and then apply. it was designed to apply first and then see your policies. new york and kentucky con set it up differently and apparently setting it up without the window shopping at the beginning may have slowed things down. >> what about what the critics say? we expect john mccain will be critical of the president. he says take air force one, send it to silicon valley, get a couple of smart people, make this thing work. is it that simple? >> the experts said it's not that simple. they said the contractor the feds used is a widely respected contractor for doing this site. they did the kentucky site, the same contractor. point of this is the management of it. you could fill up ten air force ones with silicon valley geniuses. if you don't manage them well, you're not going to have a website that, would. it's about managing people well and answering questions. if geniuses have great -- have questions they need them
answered. so this is showing the 14 states that have their own exchanges. you can see kentucky is in the yellow, new york is in yellow. talked to executives from there. they said contractors will constantly have questions. they need those questions answered quickly. building these sites is difficult. it is not an easy thing to do. the federal one, 36 states. and each of those states have a whole bunch of insurance policies like the data here is voluminous to say the least. >> all about the management, manage the sites, get the federal government on board and manage this massive undertaking >> right, it's not just the silicon can valley geniuses. you need people to answer their questions, people to manage it, people to move the project along. i mean, i know it sounds kind of boring, right? but anyone who's ever managed a project knows that's what you have to do. was the federal government doing that? >> well, they're listening to you now. >> they're listening now taking suggestions. elizabeth, appreciate it. facebook doesn't allow drug
use or nudity on its site. but believe it or not, you can see beheadings. that's right. ahead, the outrage. why the company changed its rules. [ female announcer ] we take away your stuffy nose. you keep the peace. we calm your congestion and pain. [ man ] thank you. thank you. [ female announcer ] you rally the team. you guys were awesome. [ female announcer ] we give you relief from your cough. you give them a case of the giggles. tylenol cold® helps relieve even your worst cold and flu symptoms, so you can carry on with your day. but for everything we do, we know you do so much more. tylenol cold®. but for everything we do, maestro of project management. baron of the build-out. you need a permit... to be this awesome. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle...
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facebook has now decided to lift its ban on violent videos so videos of beheadings are now actually allowed to be viewed on facebook. laurie sigel joins us from new york to explain why did they making this decision in the first place. >> let me give you a back story. a couple days ago, suzanne, a video resurfaced of a woman being decapitated it looksed like in latin america. it was a very graphic video. i couldn't bring myself to watch it. a lot of users said you should take this down.
then it was revealed they had initially banned that content but lifted that ban. i spoke with facebook. let me read the statement. they said facebook has long been a place where people turn to share their experiences particularly connected to human rights abuses, acts of terrorism and other violent events. people are sharing this video on facebook to condemn it. if it the video were being celebrated or actions encouraged, your our approach would be different it they're saying it's all about the context of the video. that being said, there are 13-year-olds using facebook. suzanne? >> yeah, i imagine the argument is that if you see this atrocity, maybe people will be moved to do something about this to intercede and intercept in some sort of way. but the backlash clearly could come from parents or people who think there is no form, no way my child or teenager should be viewing such things. >> absolutely. and there has been a lot of
controversy. i mean, as you can imagine, let me read a tweet. this was sent by british prime minister david cameron. he said, it's irresponsible of facebook to post beheading videos essentially without a warning. they must explain their actions to worried parents. facebook, they're reacting to this and beta test agactually warning sign that would go in front of videos. the warning sign would essentially say something like this contains extremely graphic content and may be upsetting. you're looking at currently right now is currently being beta tested on the site. >> laurie, is there any change in policy when it comes to things like people doing drugs on facebook or sexual acts or anything of that nature or are they pretty consistent? >> they are pretty consistent. facebook bans nudity. they will take down a picture of a woman breastfeeding, also pornography, drugs, all had type of material is banned from facebook. now, what they have said about these graphic images they are
lawing, they're significant as you mentioned before when it came to the egyptian revolution, we saw eye opening images. same with the boston bombings, allowed to stay on the site. >> the strange when you talk about breastfeeding you would think they would understand and make allowances for that, but they all consider that under one umbrella of nudity or -- >> it's funny because tech companies like this struggle with the idea of free speech and what you can show and what you can't. what really has people a little bit outraged is the fact that a video of somebody being decapitated could remain on the site and it's up to facebook to decide if it's okay and decide about that context. yet, you have women who want to share a moment when they're breastfeeding and this is being taken offline. >> yeah, very good point, laurie. obviously parents have to play a critical role in what their children or teens are able to get hold of and see on facebook. thank you, really appreciate it. we're looking at this situation talking about home after home
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the russian ballet dancer accused in an acid attack that nearly blinded the bolshoi ballet's artistic went on trial today. the dancer faces up to 12 years in prison if convicted of intentionally causing grave bodily harm. he's already admitted he wanted the director roughed up a little bit but was shocked to learn the assailants used acid. he said the director played favorites in distributing financial grants about the director has now had 20 surgeries and expected to need several more. and staying with russia, we ahead to the southwestern city
of volograad where investigators believe a female suicide bomber is responsible for this explosion around 2:00 p.m. local time on monday. they say that the blast ripped through the bus right after the bomber got on board at a bus stop. cnn's phil black picks up the story from there. >> the explosion was captured on a dash board video camera, debris blast across the road. moments later passengers seen running from the bus. investigators say one of the survivors told them the bomb detonated moments after a woman boarded the bus and believe she was the bomber, a 30-year-old from the russian republic where militants are still fighting for an independent islamic state and close to sochi where the government knows it faces a big security challenge hosting the olympics next february. >> thanks to phil black. appreciate that reporting from
moscow. also, a line of fires now that we're following here. this is nearly 1,000 miles long. this is burning across australia's most populated state. the bush fires have destroyed more than 200 homes since thursday. this is sear agarea about the size, if you can imagine this, of los angeles. officials are fearing that tomorrow's conditions are going to be about as bad as it gets with the possibility of more lives lost, more homes lost, as well. one in three australians actually live in the state where these fires are bushing. residents there are simply preparing for the worst. >> kids gone. i've got the firefighters around the corner. we've got a bunker next door. >> a gas mask from the '80s. it was used obviously for nuclear warfare but it will do a fine job here in the smog, as well. >> want to bring in our chad meyers to talk about this.
it's extraordinary when you think about it. how is the weather going to impact this? they think it could be the worst ever tomorrow. >> its an a front that's going to shift direction of the wind. that seems like a good thing because the way the wind is blowing now, you're blowing into new leaves and trees. when the wind shifts it blows back. it's going to shift at an opposite 90 degree angle so it's going to blow back together. two fires could merge and be a lot worse as one big fire than two. there are showers well south of the fire. it's the wind danger to the north that's remained windy. that's what it looks like, the firing there of the state mine fire and down toward the springwood fire. i know everyone is going to look at the graphic, all your graphics are going backwards. no that's the other side of the world so the high does spin the other direction. our graphics were correct on that. hey, the winds are going the wrong way.
that's the real danger, dry, hot winds, 40 to 50 miles per hour. >> talk a little bit more about this. small little fires everywhere across australia is actually not uncommon. but there is going to be the fear of this megafire. got to leave it there, chad. i understand the white house briefing has just started with jay carney. let's listen in. >> is the president's chairman, rather the chairman of the president's council of economic advisors, many of you know him. today, because of the shutdown is jobs day as you know. we'll mention that at the top. i think he also is here to give you a quantitative look at the economic effects of the shutdown that this country experiences and how those effects were negative for the economy and for the american people. so i'll turn this over to jason. he will give you remarks at the top. he's here to take your questions about his analysis and other job
and economic issues and then i will return to the podium to take your questions on other subjects. thank you. >> thank you, jay. this morning, we found out that the economy added 148,000 jobs in the month of september. the unemployment rate ticked down to 7.2%. and those are both part of a steady more than three-year trend of job creation and reduction in the unemployment rate. there's no question though that that pace of job creation is below what we can be fully satisfied with. and that the conversation we'd like to be having is a conversation about how we'll add to jobs. instead, what we did in october was a self-inflicted wound that will subtract from jobs when we eventually learn the jobs number for october. normally economists love jobs day because it's the most recent fresh look what's going on in the economy. this jobs day was delayed several weeks, and as a result, covers data from september,
which was before the very significant changes that happened in october. so one thing we've been trying to get a handle on is what the economic consequences of that economic shutdown and debt limit brinksmanship have been. this first slide gives you a number of private sector estimates of the consequences, and they all show that gdp growth in the fourth quarter was reduced by anywhere from .2 to .6. these estimates are useful and informative, but it's important to understand that they're based on predictions, beak they say if government services ceased for this amount of time or this amount of money, weise have some type of multiplier model. here is the consequence for gdp. they're not based on actual data and don't necessarily capture the full set of effects on confidence, on uncertainty on things like oil drillers not getting permits, small businesses not getting loans, homeowners not able to get mortgages. what we tried to do at the
council of economic advisors was look at actual data on the economy. and the next slide shows some of the data we looked at. these are all indicators that are available on a daily or a weekly basis. the most recent set is available through october 12th. so it covers about three quarters of the shut down or most of the first half of october, and these eight indicators alltel a very consistent story. sales growth as shown in those first two indicators slowed in the first half of the month and one survey said 40% of consumers cut back on their spending because of their uncertainty. ui claims soared by 50,000. the gallup job creation index slowed. economic confidence fell to the lowest level in years. steel production fell, and mortgage applications slowed, as well. we think some of that is certainly a direct effect of the
shutdown. what we then tried to do was take all of these disparate indicators each one of them is individually noisy and tells you only part of the picture. and try to extract a consistent economic signal from all of these indicators using something that my colleague jim stock, is a member of the council of economic advisors and one of the country's leading time series mackio econ motritions. you see that in this next chart. the blue line is an index that combines all eight of these variables into a consistent measure of the economy. if you look in the past, it generally tracks job growth and job destruction. so it's a reasonably accurate measure of the economy. and one thing you see is that it fell very sharply in the first 12 days of october. you see similar size although not quite as sharp false the last time we did the debt limit
brinksmanship and the euro zone crisis in 2012. if you calibrate the fall, it translates noose 0.25 percentage points off the fort quarter growth rate. we're 120,000 fewer jobs than we otherwise would have had in the month of october. i want to stress that's just based on the data we have through october 12th. as we look at more of october, those numbers could change and could potentially get worse. this all just really underscores how unnecessary and harmful the shutdown and the brinksmanship was for the economy, why it's important to avoid repeating it and instead consider jobs adding to growth, not subtracting. and later today, we will have a report out that provides the mathematical dribvation of all of this for those of you who i know will be turning straight to the appendix of that report. it will work through all this. as i said, it's a clear story. private sector forecasters you
see it in the actual data that it was a significant and unnecessary self-ip flicked wound that we shouldn't be repeating. >> questions for jason? >> will this trend continue? we still have the threat of another shutdown. >> i certainly hope it doesn't. and there's no reason that it should. we're now going through regular order with a conference committee on the budget. there's time to figure these things out. the significant economic opportunities when it comes to up front investment and job creation. replacing the sequester in a balanced way, more medium aband long-term deficit reduction and the president will be urging the conference committee and the congress to do exactly that. >> jason, even if there isn't another shutdown, how concerned is the white house that the cume lative effect of a weak september jobs report and the impact we may have seen over the last three weeks could lead to slowed economic growth through the end of the year? >> i think the good news is
we've had a private sector that's led the recovery throughout this past recovery. things like the euro zone crisis, the sequester, the shutdown, the brinksmanship and throughout it, we've continued to see the private sector adding jobs. we'd like to see them adding more jobs and do what we can to help, whether it's investments in infrastructure, business tax reform rather than being an obstacle in the way of that job creation by adding uncertainty and having this type of shutdown. so i think in september, you did see job creation. you saw 148,000 jobs. you saw the unemployment rate come down. that's consistent with you know the roughly 2 million jobs a year pace we've had that's consistent with the roughly nearly 3/4 of a point per year reduction in the unemployment rate. >> you've been lis in i can to the head of the president's council of economic advisors talking about the economic impact of the government shutdown. he says this was a fall in economic confidence.
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right now, we're waiting to find out more about that deadly shooting school shooting in sparks, nev. a police news conference has just begun. we'll listen in for any new information on a motive as well as other developments. stand by for that. right now the white house is facing more tough questions about obama care and all the problems with the website. the white house briefing now under way. we'll keep you updated with the latest information. and right now in san francisco, apple's big reveal. are we getting a revamped ipad? that's the consensus among experts but with apple you never know. we'll check in for an unveiling ju